Optimized Seq2Seq model based on multiple methods for short-term power load forecasting

被引:19
作者
Dai, Yeming [1 ]
Yang, Xinyu [1 ]
Leng, Mingming [2 ]
机构
[1] Qingdao Univ, Sch Business, Qingdao 200071, Peoples R China
[2] Lingnan Univ, Fac Business, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Power load forecasting; Convolutional neural network; Attention mechanism; Sequence to Sequence; Bidirectional long-short term memory; network; Bayesian optimization; MEMORY;
D O I
10.1016/j.asoc.2023.110335
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Accurate power load prediction plays a key role in reducing resource waste and ensuring stable and safe operations of power systems. To address the problems of poor stability and unsatisfactory prediction accuracy of existing prediction methods, in this paper, we propose a novel approach for short-term power load prediction by improving the sequence to sequence (Seq2Seq) model based on bidirectional long-short term memory (Bi-LSTM) network. Different from existing prediction models, we apply convolutional neural network, attention mechanism, and Bayesian optimization for the improvement of the Seq2Seq model. Moreover, in the data processing stage, we use the random forest algorithm for feature selection, and also adopt the weighted grey relational projection algorithm for holiday load processing to process the data and thereby overcome the difficulty of holiday load prediction. To validate our model, we choose the power load dataset in Singapore and Switzerland as experimental data and compare our prediction results with those by other models to show that our method can generate a higher prediction accuracy.& COPY; 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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