National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

被引:162
作者
Jones, Matthew W. [1 ]
Peters, Glen P. [2 ]
Gasser, Thomas [3 ]
Andrew, Robbie M. [2 ]
Schwingshackl, Clemens [4 ]
Guetschow, Johannes [5 ]
Houghton, Richard A. [6 ]
Friedlingstein, Pierre [7 ]
Pongratz, Julia [4 ,8 ]
Le Quere, Corinne [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ East Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich, Norfolk, England
[2] CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway
[3] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
[4] Ludwig Maximilian Univ Munich, Munich, Germany
[5] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Dept Transformat Pathways, Potsdam, Germany
[6] Woodwell Climate Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA USA
[7] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
[8] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”; 英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS; LAND-COVER CHANGE; CO2; EMISSIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CO2; MODEL; RESPONSIBILITIES; UNCERTAINTIES; TEMPERATURE; DRIVERS; BUDGETS;
D O I
10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) have made significant contributions to global warming since the pre-industrial period and are therefore targeted in international climate policy. There is substantial interest in tracking and apportioning national contributions to climate change and informing equitable commitments to decarbonisation. Here, we introduce a new dataset of national contributions to global warming caused by historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide during the years 1851-2021, which are consistent with the latest findings of the IPCC. We calculate the global mean surface temperature response to historical emissions of the three gases, including recent refinements which account for the short atmospheric lifetime of CH4. We report national contributions to global warming resulting from emissions of each gas, including a disaggregation to fossil and land use sectors. This dataset will be updated annually as national emissions datasets are updated.
引用
收藏
页数:23
相关论文
共 98 条
  • [61] Carbon dioxide and climate impulse response functions for the computation of greenhouse gas metrics: a multi-model analysis
    Joos, F.
    Roth, R.
    Fuglestvedt, J. S.
    Peters, G. P.
    Enting, I. G.
    von Bloh, W.
    Brovkin, V.
    Burke, E. J.
    Eby, M.
    Edwards, N. R.
    Friedrich, T.
    Froelicher, T. L.
    Halloran, P. R.
    Holden, P. B.
    Jones, C.
    Kleinen, T.
    Mackenzie, F. T.
    Matsumoto, K.
    Meinshausen, M.
    Plattner, G. -K.
    Reisinger, A.
    Segschneider, J.
    Shaffer, G.
    Steinacher, M.
    Strassmann, K.
    Tanaka, K.
    Timmermann, A.
    Weaver, A. J.
    [J]. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2013, 13 (05) : 2793 - 2825
  • [62] Fossil CO2 emissions in the post-COVID-19 era
    Le Quere, Corinne
    Peters, Glen P.
    Friedlingstein, Pierre
    Andrew, Robbie M.
    Canadell, Josep G.
    Davis, Steven J.
    Jackson, Robert B.
    Jones, Matthew W.
    [J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2021, 11 (03) : 197 - 199
  • [63] Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies
    Le Quere, Corinne
    Korsbakken, Jan Ivar
    Wilson, Charlie
    Tosun, Jale
    Andrew, Robbie
    Andres, Robert J.
    Canadell, Josep G.
    Jordan, Andrew
    Peters, Glen P.
    van Vuuren, Detlef P.
    [J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (03) : 213 - +
  • [64] FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration
    Leach, Nicholas J.
    Jenkins, Stuart
    Nicholls, Zebedee
    Smith, Christopher J.
    Lynch, John
    Cain, Michelle
    Walsh, Tristram
    Wu, Bill
    Tsutsui, Junichi
    Allen, Myles R.
    [J]. GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2021, 14 (05) : 3007 - 3036
  • [65] Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes
    Lewis, Sophie C.
    Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.
    Althor, Glenn
    King, Andrew D.
    Kemp, Luke
    [J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (07) : 3936 - 3943
  • [66] The contribution of China's emissions to global climate forcing
    Li, Bengang
    Gasser, Thomas
    Ciais, Philippe
    Piao, Shilong
    Tao, Shu
    Balkanski, Yves
    Hauglustaine, Didier
    Boisier, Juan-Pablo
    Chen, Zhuo
    Huang, Mengtian
    Li, Laurent Zhaoxin
    Li, Yue
    Liu, Hongyan
    Liu, Junfeng
    Peng, Shushi
    Shen, Zehao
    Sun, Zhenzhong
    Wang, Rong
    Wang, Tao
    Yin, Guodong
    Yin, Yi
    Zeng, Hui
    Zeng, Zhenzhong
    Zhou, Feng
    [J]. NATURE, 2016, 531 (7594) : 357 - +
  • [67] Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and long-lived climate pollutants
    Lynch, John
    Cain, Michelle
    Pierrehumbert, Raymond
    Allen, Myles
    [J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (04):
  • [68] Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2
    MacDougall, Andrew H.
    Frolicher, Thomas L.
    Jones, Chris D.
    Rogelj, Joeri
    Matthews, H. Damon
    Zickfeld, Kirsten
    Arora, Vivek K.
    Barrett, Noah J.
    Brovkin, Victor
    Burger, Friedrich A.
    Eby, Michel
    Eliseev, Alexey, V
    Hajima, Tomohiro
    Holden, Philip B.
    Jeltsch-Thommes, Aurich
    Koven, Charles
    Mengis, Nadine
    Menviel, Laurie
    Michou, Martine
    Mokhov, Igor I.
    Oka, Akira
    Schwinger, Jorg
    Seferian, Roland
    Shaffer, Gary
    Sokolov, Andrei
    Tachiiri, Kaoru
    Tjiputra, Jerry
    Wiltshire, Andrew
    Ziehn, Tilo
    [J]. BIOGEOSCIENCES, 2020, 17 (11) : 2987 - 3016
  • [69] An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget
    Matthews, H. Damon
    Tokarska, Katarzyna B.
    Rogelj, Joeri
    Smith, Christopher J.
    MacDougall, Andrew H.
    Haustein, Karsten
    Mengis, Nadine
    Sippel, Sebastian
    Forster, Piers M.
    Knutti, Reto
    [J]. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, 2021, 2 (01):
  • [70] National contributions to observed global warming
    Matthews, H. Damon
    Graham, Tanya L.
    Keverian, Serge
    Lamontagne, Cassandra
    Seto, Donny
    Smith, Trevor J.
    [J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2014, 9 (01):