National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

被引:221
作者
Jones, Matthew W. [1 ]
Peters, Glen P. [2 ]
Gasser, Thomas [3 ]
Andrew, Robbie M. [2 ]
Schwingshackl, Clemens [4 ]
Guetschow, Johannes [5 ]
Houghton, Richard A. [6 ]
Friedlingstein, Pierre [7 ]
Pongratz, Julia [4 ,8 ]
Le Quere, Corinne [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ East Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich, Norfolk, England
[2] CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway
[3] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
[4] Ludwig Maximilian Univ Munich, Munich, Germany
[5] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Dept Transformat Pathways, Potsdam, Germany
[6] Woodwell Climate Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA USA
[7] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
[8] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”; 英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS; LAND-COVER CHANGE; CO2; EMISSIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CO2; MODEL; RESPONSIBILITIES; UNCERTAINTIES; TEMPERATURE; DRIVERS; BUDGETS;
D O I
10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) have made significant contributions to global warming since the pre-industrial period and are therefore targeted in international climate policy. There is substantial interest in tracking and apportioning national contributions to climate change and informing equitable commitments to decarbonisation. Here, we introduce a new dataset of national contributions to global warming caused by historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide during the years 1851-2021, which are consistent with the latest findings of the IPCC. We calculate the global mean surface temperature response to historical emissions of the three gases, including recent refinements which account for the short atmospheric lifetime of CH4. We report national contributions to global warming resulting from emissions of each gas, including a disaggregation to fossil and land use sectors. This dataset will be updated annually as national emissions datasets are updated.
引用
收藏
页数:23
相关论文
共 98 条
[41]   Anthropogenic land use estimates for the Holocene - HYDE 3.2 [J].
Goldewijk, Kees Klein ;
Beusen, Arthur ;
Doelman, Jonathan ;
Stehfest, Elke .
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA, 2017, 9 (02) :927-953
[42]   The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series [J].
Guetschow, Johannes ;
Jeffery, M. Louise ;
Gieseke, Robert ;
Gebel, Ronja ;
Stevens, David ;
Krapp, Mario ;
Rocha, Marcia .
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA, 2016, 8 (02) :571-603
[43]  
Gulev SK., 2021, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, DOI DOI 10.1017/9781009157896.004
[44]  
Gutschow Johannes, 2022, Zenodo, DOI 10.5281/ZENODO.7179775
[45]   Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes [J].
Hansis, Eberhard ;
Davis, Steven J. ;
Pongratz, Julia .
GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES, 2015, 29 (08) :1230-1246
[46]   Updated Global Warming Potentials and Radiative Efficiencies of Halocarbons and Other Weak Atmospheric Absorbers [J].
Hodnebrog, O. ;
Aamaas, B. ;
Fuglestvedt, J. S. ;
Marston, G. ;
Myhre, G. ;
Nielsen, C. J. ;
Sandstad, M. ;
Shine, K. P. ;
Wallington, T. J. .
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 2020, 58 (03)
[47]   Contributions of individual countries' emissions to climate change and their uncertainty [J].
Hoehne, Niklas ;
Blum, Helcio ;
Fuglestvedt, Jan ;
Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt ;
Kurosawa, Atsushi ;
Hu, Guoquan ;
Lowe, Jason ;
Gohar, Laila ;
Matthews, Ben ;
Nioac de Salles, Ana Claudia ;
Ellermann, Christian .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2011, 106 (03) :359-391
[48]   Historical (1750-2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) [J].
Hoesly, Rachel M. ;
Smith, Steven J. ;
Feng, Leyang ;
Klimont, Zbigniew ;
Janssens-Maenhout, Greet ;
Pitkanen, Tyler ;
Seibert, Jonathan J. ;
Linh Vu ;
Andres, Robert J. ;
Bolt, Ryan M. ;
Bond, Tami C. ;
Dawidowski, Laura ;
Kholod, Nazar ;
Kurokawa, June-ichi ;
Li, Meng ;
Liu, Liang ;
Lu, Zifeng ;
Moura, Maria Cecilia P. ;
O'Rourke, Patrick R. ;
Zhang, Qiang .
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2018, 11 (01) :369-408
[49]   Regional GHG reduction targets based on effort sharing: a comparison of studies [J].
Hohne, Niklas ;
Den Elzen, Michel ;
Escalante, Donovan .
CLIMATE POLICY, 2014, 14 (01) :122-147
[50]   Land-use emissions embodied in international trade [J].
Hong, Chaopeng ;
Zhao, Hongyan ;
Qin, Yue ;
Burney, Jennifer A. ;
Pongratz, Julia ;
Hartung, Kerstin ;
Liu, Yu ;
Moore, Frances C. ;
Jackson, Robert B. ;
Zhang, Qiang ;
Davis, Steven J. .
SCIENCE, 2022, 376 (6593) :597-+