Exploring the historical and future spatial interaction relationship between urbanization and ecosystem services in the Yangtze River Basin, China

被引：24

作者：

Pan, Zhenzhen ^{[1
,2
]}

Gao, Guangyao ^{[2
,3
]}

Fu, Bojie ^{[2
,3
]}

Liu, Shuguang ^{[1
]}

Wang, Jianwei ^{[4
]}

He, Jianhua ^{[5
]}

Liu, Dianfeng ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Cent South Univ Forestry & Technol, Fac Life Sci & Technol, Natl Engn Lab Appl Technol Forestry & Ecol South C, Changsha 410004, Hunan, Peoples R China

[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, State Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China

[3] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China

[4] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Subtrop Agr, Changsha 410125, Peoples R China

[5] Wuhan Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Sci, 129 Luoyu Rd, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China

来源：

JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION | 2023年 / 428卷

关键词：

Urbanization; Ecosystem services; Spatial interaction relationship; Coupling coordination degree model; Decoupling analysis; LAND-USE CHANGE; URBAN-GROWTH; COVER CHANGE; SCENARIOS; IMPACTS; MODEL; ASSOCIATION; POPULATION; DYNAMICS; DEMAND;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139401

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Diagnosing the spatial interaction between urbanization and ecosystem services (ES) is of guiding significance for regional sustainable development. The complex spatial interactions mechanism between different types of ur-banization and ES during historical and future periods were rarely explored at the whole watershed scale. To fill this gap, we systematically evaluated, predicted and compared the complex spatial interaction relationship between different types of urbanization and ES in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) during 1990-2019 and in 2050 under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios. Results showed that economic and land urbanization in the YRB will increase sharply during 1990-2050, while the population urbanization will drop slightly during 2019-2050. More than 59% of the YRB will experience an increase in total ecosystem services (TES) in SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios during 2019-2050. The average coupling coordination degree (CCD) between urbanization and TES in the YRB ranged 0.16-0.61 during 1990-2050, with a gradual increase from severe uncoordinated to basic coordination, and experienced a transition from lagging urbanization to lagging TES. More than 64% and 38% of the YRB will achieve strong decoupling between economic and population urbanization and TES during 1990-2050, respectively, which largely occur in the upper reaches, while over 34% of the YRB belong to weak decoupling between land urbanization and TES except for SSP1-2.6, which cluster in the middle and lower reaches. Moreover, we found that SSP1-2.6 will be the most promising scenario to achieve a win-win situation between different types of urbanization and TES, while prominent conflict between them will likely emerge in SSP5-8.5 scenario. The findings can contribute to further understanding the spatial interaction relationship between ur-banization and ES, and provide support for ecosystem protection and sustainable urban planning.

引用

页数：13

共 71 条

[1] The concept of ecosystem services in adaptive urban planning and design: A framework for supporting innovation [J].