The promising future of developing large-scale PV solar farms in China: A three-stage framework for site selection

被引:12
作者
Li, Xiao-Ya [1 ]
Dong, Xin-Yu [1 ]
Chen, Sha [2 ]
Ye, Yan-Mei [1 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ, Sch Publ Affairs, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China
[2] Zhejiang Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Publ Affairs, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Solar photovoltaic; Site selection; Potential estimation; Infrastructure investment; Carbon neutrality; GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION-SYSTEMS; ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS; SUITABILITY ASSESSMENT; RESOURCE ASSESSMENT; PHOTOVOLTAIC PV; COST-BENEFIT; URBAN AREAS; WIND FARM; GIS-AHP; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.renene.2023.119638
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Large-scale Photovoltaics (PV) play a pivotal role in climate change mitigation due to their cost-effective scaling potential of energy transition. Consequently, selecting locations for large-scale PV power plants has gained worldwide prominence in recent decades. Although massive studies have examined various siting criteria, land consolidation and cost-benefit feasibility issues are not often included due to the lack of a comprehensive and discretionary decision-making system. In this study, we introduced a three-stage framework combining DBSCAN clustering and cost-benefit analysis to identify the most efficient and cost-effective land parcels. The results indicate that while a total area of 425,191 km2 is considered developable for PV installation in China, only 23% of that area (128,588 km2) are consolidated land parcels which are suitable for developing large-scale PV power plants. Moreover, the potential of these consolidated land parcels (8,289,662 gWh/year) can supply about 90% of China's electricity demand. However, when considering the infrastructure investment per kWh, high-potential land parcels doubled the moderate-potential ones. These results emphasize the importance of large-scale PV plant siting as it impacts the efficiency of PV integration and the optimal land use. Hence, this methodology equips decision-makers with a practical and efficient tool for economically developing large-scale solar PV.
引用
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页数:15
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