Automation and population growth: Theory and cross-country evidence

被引:13
作者
Abeliansky, Ana Lucia [1 ]
Prettner, Klaus [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Vienna Univ Business & Econ, Dept Econ, Welthandelspl 1, A-1020 Vienna, Austria
[2] Univ Vienna, Wittgenstein Ctr Demog & Global Human Capital, IIASA, VID OAW, Vordere Zollamtsstr 3, A-1030 Vienna, Austria
关键词
Automation; Industrial robots; Demographic change; Declining fertility; PANEL-DATA MODELS; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; SOCIAL-SECURITY; DYNAMIC-MODELS; FERTILITY; FUTURE; ROBOTS; INNOVATION; EMPLOYMENT; DECLINE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jebo.2023.02.006
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We analyse the relationship between declining population growth and automation. Theoretical considerations imply that countries with lower population growth introduce automation technologies faster. We test the theoretical implication on panel data for 60 countries over the time span 1993-2013. Regression estimates support the theoretical implication, suggesting that a 1% increase in population growth is associated with an approximately 2% reduction in the growth rate of robot density. Our results are robust to the inclusion of standard control variables, different estimation methods, dynamic specifications, and changes with respect to the measurement of the stock of robots. (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
引用
收藏
页码:345 / 358
页数:14
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