Seismic vulnerability of shield tunnels in interbedded soil deposits: Case study of submarine tunnel in Shantou Bay

This paper presents a numerical approach for deriving seismic fragility curves for a submarine shield tunnel subjected to transverse ground shaking in interbedded soil deposits. To simulate the nonlinear behavior of soils, PM4Sand and HS-small constitutive models were adopted. In contrast, the closed-form elastic design method or elastic-plastic design method was used for modeling the shield tunnel lining considering the effect of joints on the seismic performance of structures. Fully coupled numerical analyses provided a satisfactory interpretation of the seismic responses of soil-structure systems considering the effects of groundwater level and soil-tunnel interaction. Subsequently, free-field peak ground acceleration was selected as the intensity measure. The ratio of maximum bending moment to capacity bending moment or permanent joint rotation of the tunnel lining was selected as the damage measure, combined with incremental dynamic analysis, a series of fragility curves were generated. In this study, one-dimensional equivalent-linear earthquake site response analysis was implemented to validate the nonlinear dynamic analysis under weak earthquakes. However, the analysis overestimates the amplitude periodic vibrations in interbedded soil deposits under strong earthquakes. Additionally, numerical results show that the examined tunnel is prone to slight or moderate damage under ground shaking, and its joints are more vulnerable to damage than its segments. The fragility curves constructed were compared with existing fragility curves, highlighting the significant effects of local soil profiles, groundwater conditions, soil-tunnel interaction, and segmental joints on the seismic vulnerability of shield tunnels in a submarine environment. The developed fragility functions contribute to the prediction of seismic damage to submarine shield tunnels of similar characteristics, enabling the rapid and efficient response of structures to disasters in ocean engineering.