Using a delphi technique to determine the likelihood and tourism impact of a Chikungunya outbreak in the United States

被引：4

作者：

Basurto-Cedeno, Estefania ^{[1
,2
]}

Pennington-Gray, Lori ^{[1
]}

Court, Christa D. ^{[3
]}

Ferreira, Joao-Pedro ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ South Carolina, Coll Hospitality Retail & Sport Management, SmartState Ctr Econ Excellence Tourism & Econ Dev, Columbia 29208, SC USA

[2] Univ Laica Eloy Alfaro Manabi, Tourism Dept, Manta, Ecuador

[3] Univ Florida, Food & Resource Econ Dept, Gainesville, FL USA

来源：

CURRENT ISSUES IN TOURISM | 2023年 / 26卷 / 21期

关键词：

Chikungunya outbreak; tourism; Delphi study; Florida; behavioural intentions; crisis;

D O I：

10.1080/13683500.2023.2177833

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The Delphi technique is a qualitative technique which consists of a series of systematic steps to combine the knowledge and opinion of experts regarding a specific topic and reach a consensus as a means of scenario building and forecasting. This technique is rarely used in tourism, albeit it has been recommended since 1990 (Green, H., Hunter, C., & Moore, B. [1990]. Assessing the environmental impact of tourism development: Use of the Delphi technique. Tourism Management, 11(2), 111-120). The goal of this research note is to demonstrate use of the Delphi technique as a means of building a richer depth of understanding about the likelihood of a Chikungunya outbreak and the impact to the tourism industry.

引用

页码：3439 / 3443

页数：5

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