Mathematical modeling of Dengue virus serotypes propagation in Mexico

被引：3

作者：

Sanchez-Gonzalez, Gilberto ^{[1
]}

Conde, Renaud ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Inst Nacl Salud Publ, Ctr Invest Enfermedades Infecciosas, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico

来源：

PLOS ONE | 2023年 / 18卷 / 07期

关键词：

AEDES-AEGYPTI DIPTERA; CULICIDAE FEMALES; TRANSMISSION; IMPACT; FEVER; TEMPERATURE; SURVIVAL; FATALITY;

D O I：

10.1371/journal.pone.0288392

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

The Dengue virus (DENV) constitutes a major vector borne virus disease worldwide. Prediction of the DENV spread dynamics, prevalence and infection rates are crucial elements to guide the public health services effort towards meaningful actions. The existence of four DENV serotypes further complicates the virus proliferation forecast. The different serotypes have varying clinical impacts, and the symptomatology of the infection is dependent on the infection history of the patient. Therefore, changes in the prevalent DENV serotype found in one location have a profound impact on the regional public health. The prediction of the spread and intensity of infection of the individual DENV serotypes in specific locations would allow the authorities to plan local pesticide spray to control the vector as well as the purchase of specific antibody therapy. Here we used a mathematical model to predict serotype-specific DENV prevalence and overall case burden in Mexico.

引用

页数：13

共 56 条

[1] Seroprevalence of dengue in school children in Mexico ages 6-17 years, 2016 [J].

Amaya-Larios, Irma Y. ;

Rojas-Russell, Mario ;

Lopez-Cervantes, Malaquias ;

Castro-Porras, Lilia ;

Victoria Castro-Borbonio, Ma ;

Sarti, Elsa ;

Puentes-Rosas, Esteban ;

Tirado-Gomez, Laura L. ;

Olaiz-Fernandez, Gustavo ;

Ramos-Castaneda, Jose .

TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, 2018, 112 (05) :223-229

[2] Dynamic Epidemiological Models for Dengue Transmission: A Systematic Review of Structural Approaches [J].

Andraud, Mathieu ;

Hens, Niel ;

Marais, Christiaan ;

Beutels, Philippe .

PLOS ONE, 2012, 7 (11)

[3] Mexico dengue vaccine first [J].

Nature Biotechnology, 2016, 34 (1) :8-8

[4]

[Anonymous], 2017, MEX LIF EXPECTANCYTI

[5]

Bartley LM, 2002, T ROY SOC TROP MED H, V96, P387, DOI 10.1016/S0035-9203(02)90371-8

[6] Mosquito Feeding Assays to Determine the Infectiousness of Naturally Infected Plasmodium falciparum Gametocyte Carriers [J].

Bousema, Teun ;

Dinglasan, Rhoel R. ;

Morlais, Isabelle ;

Gouagna, Louis C. ;

van Warmerdam, Travis ;

Awono-Ambene, Parfait H. ;

Bonnet, Sarah ;

Diallo, Mouctar ;

Coulibaly, Mamadou ;

Tchuinkam, Timoleon ;

Mulder, Bert ;

Targett, Geoff ;

Drakeley, Chris ;

Sutherland, Colin ;

Robert, Vincent ;

Doumbo, Ogobara ;

Toure, Yeya ;

Graves, Patricia M. ;

Roeffen, Will ;

Sauerwein, Robert ;

Birkett, Ashley ;

Locke, Emily ;

Morin, Merribeth ;

Wu, Yimin ;

Churcher, Thomas S. .

PLOS ONE, 2012, 7 (08)

[7] Modelling adult Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus survival at different temperatures in laboratory and field settings [J].

Brady, Oliver J. ;

Johansson, Michael A. ;

Guerra, Carlos A. ;

Bhatt, Samir ;

Golding, Nick ;

Pigott, David M. ;

Delatte, Helene ;

Grech, Marta G. ;

Leisnham, Paul T. ;

Maciel-de-Freitas, Rafael ;

Styer, Linda M. ;

Smith, David L. ;

Scott, Thomas W. ;

Gething, Peter W. ;

Hay, Simon I. .

PARASITES & VECTORS, 2013, 6

[8] Duration of post-vaccination immunity against yellow fever in adults [J].

Caldas, Iramaya Rodrigues ;

Bastos Camacho, Luiz Antonio ;

Martins-Filho, Olindo Assis ;

de Sousa Maia, Maria de Lourdes ;

Freire, Marcos da Silva ;

Torres, Christiane de Roode ;

Martins, Reinaldo de Menezes ;

Homma, Akira ;

Guedes Farias, Roberto Henrique ;

Yoshida, Anna Maya ;

Noronha, Tatiana Nogueira ;

Matos, Eliane Santos ;

Campos Lemos, Jandira Aparecida ;

von Doellinger, Vanessa dos Reis ;

Simoes, Marisol ;

Basilio da Silva, Ana Maria ;

de Albuquerque, Elizabeth Maciel ;

Cruz, Joao Silveira ;

da Cunha Junior, Claudemir Francisco ;

Pimenta, Mauricio Ferreira ;

de Souza, Mirian Mariano ;

de Moraes, Shirley da Silva ;

de Paiva, Maria Camello ;

Leite Cruz, Robson de Souza ;

de Sousa Gil, Valeria Lucia ;

Pires, Armando ;

Carvalho, Carolina S. ;

Vieira de Souza, Dayana Cristina ;

Santos, Jociara Silva ;

de Oliveira, Luanda Machado ;

Teixeira-Carvalho, Andrea ;

Campi-Azevedo, Ana Carolina ;

do Valle Antonelli, Lis Ribeiro ;

Fonseca, Cristina Toscano ;

Santos, Raiany Araujo ;

Porto, Luiza Pacheco ;

Rios, Maria ;

Ribeiro Nogueira, Rita Maria ;

Bispo de Filippis, Ana Maria ;

Araujo, Eliane ;

Marcelo Rodrigues Pereira, Colonel Jorge ;

Richard Persi, Colonel Harold ;

de Souza Martins, Jose Ailton ;

Ribeiro, Marcos Dornelas ;

Vinhas, Aline de Alcantara ;

Alves, Tatiane Rocha ;

Costa Ribeiro e Ribeiro, Aparecida Azola ;

Esteves, Cynthia ;

Bianchini, Cyomara de Jesus ;

Cabral, Thiago Campos .

VACCINE, 2014, 32 (39) :4977-4984

[9] Past, present and future of Aedes aegypti in its South American southern distribution fringe: What do temperature and population tell us? [J].

Carbajo, A. E. ;

Cardo, M., V ;

Vezzani, D. .

ACTA TROPICA, 2019, 190 :149-156

[10] Resting behaviour of Aedes aegypti in Trinidad: with evidence for the re-introduction of indoor residual spraying (IRS) for dengue control [J].

Chadee, Dave D. .

PARASITES & VECTORS, 2013, 6

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 →