Spatio-temporal correlation for simultaneous ultra-short-term wind speed prediction at multiple locations

被引:21
作者
Yan, Bowen [1 ]
Shen, Ruifang [1 ]
Li, Ke [1 ]
Wang, Zhenguo [2 ]
Yang, Qingshan [1 ]
Zhou, Xuhong [1 ]
Zhang, Le [3 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Chongqing Key Lab Wind Engn & Wind Resource Utiliz, Chongqing 400045, Peoples R China
[2] Changsha Vanke Enterprise Co Ltd, Changsha 410016, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Elect Sci & Technol, Sch Informat & Commun Engn, Chengdu 611731, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Wind speed prediction; Multi-locations; Spatio-temporal correlation; Convolutional long-short memory neural network; Residual network; GAUSSIAN PROCESS REGRESSION; RESOURCE ASSESSMENT; NEURAL-NETWORK; DECOMPOSITION; TURBULENCE; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2023.128418
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Wind, as a fluid, has continuity in both space and time. Coupling spatial and temporal information to build prediction models can improve wind speed prediction accuracy. This paper proposes a method that predicts wind speed at multiple locations using both spatial and temporal data. Three deep learning models are introduced: Convolutional Residual Spatial-Temporal Long Short-Term Memory neural network (CoReSTL), Convolutional Spatial-Temporal-3D neural network (CoST-3), and Convolutional Spatial-Temporal Long Short-Term Memory neural network (CoST-L). These models combine Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM), Residual Network (ResNet), and 1 x 1 3D convolution to extract spatial and temporal correlations between multi-site wind speeds. The spatio-temporal prediction of wind fields under two terrains was carried out to screen out neural network models with higher accuracy. The results show that CoReSTL, CoST-3, and CoST-L all achieved better prediction results. However, the performance of the CoReSTL model was better than that of CoST-3 and CoST-L, with stronger applicability in complex real terrain.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 40 条
[1]   Consistent inflow turbulence generator for LES evaluation of wind-induced responses for tall buildings [J].
Aboshosha, Haitham ;
Elshaer, Ahmed ;
Bitsuamlak, Girma T. ;
El Damatty, Ashraf .
JOURNAL OF WIND ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL AERODYNAMICS, 2015, 142 :198-216
[2]   Inlet grid-generated turbulence for large-eddy simulations [J].
Blackmore, T. ;
Batten, W. M. J. ;
Bahaj, A. S. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS, 2013, 27 (6-7) :307-315
[3]   The impact of short-term variability and uncertainty on long-term power planning [J].
Bylling, Henrik C. ;
Pineda, Salvador ;
Boomsma, Trine K. .
ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2020, 284 (01) :199-223
[4]   Gaussian Process Regression for numerical wind speed prediction enhancement [J].
Cai, Haoshu ;
Jia, Xiaodong ;
Feng, Jianshe ;
Li, Wenzhe ;
Hsu, Yuan-Ming ;
Lee, Jay .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2020, 146 :2112-2123
[5]  
Clevert DA, 2016, Arxiv, DOI [arXiv:1511.07289, DOI 10.48550/ARXIV.1511.07289]
[6]   Wind energy evaluation for a highly complex terrain using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) [J].
Dhunny, A. Z. ;
Lollchund, M. R. ;
Rughooputh, S. D. D. V. .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2017, 101 :1-9
[7]   Short-term wind speed forecasting using recurrent neural networks with error correction [J].
Duan, Jikai ;
Zuo, Hongchao ;
Bai, Yulong ;
Duan, Jizheng ;
Chang, Mingheng ;
Chen, Bolong .
ENERGY, 2021, 217 (217)
[8]   Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition [J].
He, Kaiming ;
Zhang, Xiangyu ;
Ren, Shaoqing ;
Sun, Jian .
2016 IEEE CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER VISION AND PATTERN RECOGNITION (CVPR), 2016, :770-778
[9]   Improved near surface wind speed predictions using Gaussian process regression combined with numerical weather predictions and observed meteorological data [J].
Hoolohan, Victoria ;
Tomlin, Alison S. ;
Cockerill, Timothy .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2018, 126 :1043-1054
[10]   A novel approach for wind farm micro-siting in complex terrain based on an improved genetic algorithm [J].
Hu, Weicheng ;
Yang, Qingshan ;
Chen, Hua-Peng ;
Guo, Kunpeng ;
Zhou, Tong ;
Liu, Min ;
Zhang, Jian ;
Yuan, Ziting .
ENERGY, 2022, 251