Forecasting power demand in China with a CNN-LSTM model including multimodal information

被引:39
作者
Wang, Delu [1 ]
Gan, Jun [1 ]
Mao, Jinqi [1 ]
Chen, Fan [1 ]
Yu, Lan [1 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
关键词
Power demand; Forecasting; Multimodal information fusion; Feature fusion; CNN-LSTM; FEATURE-SELECTION; EVENT DETECTION; NEURAL-NETWORK; CLASSIFICATION; CONSUMPTION; FRAMEWORK; STRATEGY; WIND;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2022.126012
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Accurate forecasting of social power demand is the country's primary task in making decisions on power overall planning, coal power withdrawal, and renewable energy investment. The integration of text data based and traditional time series data may improve the power demand forecasting ability. Therefore, based on the idea of multimodal information fusion, we construct a novel comprehensive power demand prediction model CNN-LSTM (Convolution Neural Network, Long Short-term Memory) in a multi-heterogeneous data environment. Empirical results show that the proposed prediction model is effective, and it proves that the organic fusion of time series data and text data can effectively improve forecasting performance. And China's power demand growth will gradually slow down or even show a downward trend in the next two years, which provides an important decision-making reference for the low-carbon transformation of China's power system.
引用
收藏
页数:16
相关论文
共 52 条
  • [1] Ahmed E, 2016, Arxiv, DOI [arXiv:1609.08399, 10.48550/arXiv.1609.08399]
  • [2] Short-term electricity demand forecasting with MARS, SVR and ARIMA models using aggregated demand data in Queensland, Australia
    Al-Musaylh, Mohanad S.
    Deo, Ravinesh C.
    Adarnowski, Jan F.
    Li, Yan
    [J]. ADVANCED ENGINEERING INFORMATICS, 2018, 35 : 1 - 16
  • [3] Araujo K., 2017, Low Carbon Energy Transitions: Turning Points in National Policy
  • [4] Crude oil price forecasting incorporating news text
    Bai, Yun
    Li, Xixi
    Yu, Hao
    Jia, Suling
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2022, 38 (01) : 367 - 383
  • [5] Recommendation system exploiting aspect-based opinion mining with deep learning method
    Da'u, Aminu
    Salim, Naomie
    Rabiu, Idris
    Osman, Akram
    [J]. INFORMATION SCIENCES, 2020, 512 : 1279 - 1292
  • [6] Forecasting mid-long term electric energy consumption through bagging ARIMA and exponential smoothing methods
    de Oliveira, Erick Meira
    Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz
    [J]. ENERGY, 2018, 144 : 776 - 788
  • [7] Power system planning with increasing variable renewable energy: A review of optimization models
    Deng, Xu
    Lv, Tao
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2020, 246
  • [8] Attention pooling-based convolutional neural network for sentence modelling
    Er, Meng Joo
    Zhang, Yong
    Wang, Ning
    Pratama, Mahardhika
    [J]. INFORMATION SCIENCES, 2016, 373 : 388 - 403
  • [9] Well production forecasting based on ARIMA-LSTM model considering manual operations
    Fan, Dongyan
    Sun, Hai
    Yao, Jun
    Zhang, Kai
    Yan, Xia
    Sun, Zhixue
    [J]. ENERGY, 2021, 220
  • [10] News-based forecasts of macroeconomic indicators: A semantic path model for interpretable predictions
    Feuerriegel, Stefan
    Gordon, Julius
    [J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2019, 272 (01) : 162 - 175