Effects of climatic and environmental factors on mosquito population inferred from West Nile virus surveillance in Greece

被引：9

作者：

Ferraccioli, Federico ^{[1
,5
]}

Riccetti, Nicola ^{[1
]}

Fasano, Augusto ^{[1
,6
]}

Mourelatos, Spiros ^{[2
]}

Kioutsioukis, Ioannis ^{[3
]}

Stilianakis, Nikolaos I. ^{[1
,4
]}

机构：

[1] Joint Res Ctr JRC, European Commiss, Via E Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy

[2] EcoDevelopment SA, Thessaloniki 57010, Greece

[3] Univ Patras, Dept Phys, Rion 26504, Greece

[4] Univ Erlangen Nurnberg, Dept Biometry & Epidemiol, Waldstr 6, D-91054 Erlangen, Germany

[5] Univ Padua, Dept Stat Sci, Via C Battisti 241, I-35121 Padua, PD, Italy

[6] Univ Cattolica Sacro Cuore, Dept Stat, Largo A Gemelli, I-20123 Milan, MI, Italy

来源：

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 2023年 / 13卷 / 01期

关键词：

CULEX-PIPIENS DIPTERA; CULICIDAE; ABUNDANCE; WEATHER; MANIFESTATIONS; MORTALITY; RAINFALL; OUTCOMES; IMPACT;

D O I：

10.1038/s41598-023-45666-3

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Mosquito-borne diseases' impact on human health is among the most prominent of all communicable diseases. With limited pool of tools to contrast these diseases, public health focus remains preventing mosquito-human contacts. Applying a hierarchical spatio-temporal Bayesian model on West Nile virus (WNV) surveillance data from Greece, we aimed to investigate the impact of climatic and environmental factors on Culex mosquitoes' population. Our spatio-temporal analysis confirmed climatic factors as major drivers of WNV-transmitting-Culex mosquitoes population dynamics, with temperature and long periods of moderate-to-warm climate having the strongest positive effect on mosquito abundance. Conversely, rainfall, high humidity, and wind showed a negative impact. The results suggest the presence of statistically significant differences in the effect of regional and seasonal characteristics, highlighting the complex interplay between climatic, geographical and environmental factors in the dynamics of mosquito populations. This study may represent a relevant tool to inform public health policymakers in planning preventive measures.

引用

页数：12

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