How does exchange rate elasticity of aggregate consumption adjust currency risk price in the stock market?

被引:1
作者
Chen, Qi-an [1 ]
Li, Huashi [1 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Univ, Sch Econ & Business Adm, 174 Shazheng St, Chongqing 400044, Peoples R China
关键词
Currency risk price; Exchange rate elasticity of aggregate; consumption; Stock market; CROSS-SECTION; ASSET PRICES; VOLATILITY; PREMIA; MODEL; EQUILIBRIUM; DYNAMICS; PARITY; FIRMS;
D O I
10.1016/j.iref.2022.11.040
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Based on a simple two-good, two-country CCAPM framework, in which aggregate consumption growth is connected to exchange rate fluctuations by the exchange rate elasticity of aggregate consumption (EREAC), we extend a parsimonious international CAPM model to detect the role of EREAC in the change in currency risk price and illustrate that EREAC moves explain the timevarying nature of currency risk price. In our model, currency risk price is expressed as a function of both EREAC and its related threshold value. Thus, under the condition of the identified correlation directionality between stock returns and exchange rate fluctuation, we claim that EREAC influences the currency risk price, where the two types of EREAC states (above or below its threshold value) have inverse effects on the currency risk price direction. Through an empirical test, we find evidence that EREAC can sagaciously adjust the currency risk price as we propose. Our main result implies that EREAC can be as a potential state variable in currency risk prices, and from the perspective of EREAC moves, we can give a partially plausible interpretation of the cause of the time-varying nature of currency risk prices to some extent.
引用
收藏
页码:590 / 610
页数:21
相关论文
共 62 条
[1]   INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO CHOICE AND CORPORATION FINANCE - A SYNTHESIS [J].
ADLER, M ;
DUMAS, B .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1983, 38 (03) :925-984
[2]   Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market [J].
Al-Shboul, Mohammad ;
Anwar, Sajid .
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2014, 37 :451-463
[3]  
Alexander S.S., 1952, STAFF PAPERS INT MON, V2, P263, DOI [https://doi.org/10.2307/3866218, DOI 10.2307/3866218]
[4]   Modeling and forecasting realized volatility [J].
Andersen, TG ;
Bollerslev, T ;
Diebold, FX ;
Labys, P .
ECONOMETRICA, 2003, 71 (02) :579-625
[5]   International asset pricing models and currency risk: Evidence from Finland 1970-2004 [J].
Antell, Jan ;
Vaihekoski, Mika .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2007, 31 (09) :2571-2590
[6]   Asset pricing and foreign exchange risk [J].
Apergis, Nicholas ;
Artikis, Panagiotis ;
Sorros, John .
RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2011, 25 (03) :308-328
[7]   An international CAPM for partially integrated markets: Theory and empirical evidence [J].
Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi ;
Duc Khuong Nguyen ;
Pukthuanthong, Kuntara .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2012, 36 (09) :2473-2493
[8]  
Bahmani-Oskooee M., 2015, International Economics, V144, P53
[9]   Currency risk premia and uncovered interest parity in the International CAPM [J].
Balvers, Ronald J. ;
Klein, Alina F. .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2014, 41 :214-230
[10]   Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles [J].
Bansal, R ;
Yaron, A .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2004, 59 (04) :1481-1509