On the nexus of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth in Ethiopia

被引:3
|
作者
Niken, Kasahun [1 ]
Haile, Minyahil Alemu [1 ]
Berecha, Achalu [1 ]
机构
[1] Jimma Univ, Econ Dept, Jimma, Ethiopia
关键词
ARDL; Economic growth; ECM; Inflation; Okun's law; Unemployment; VAR; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15271
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We investigate into nexus of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth for the least -developed, transition-undertaking, economy of Ethiopia using the yearly frequency of several macroeconomic series from 1980 to 2020. Before we control for the potential impulse of other series, we run three independent regressions each on VAR and ECM models in only three of the key macro-fundamentals taken here: inflation, unemployment, and economic growth, to appre-hend their intrinsic relationships. Indeed, our VAR estimates are consistent with those of ECM, guaranteeing dynamically unique links for the three major series. We proceeded to run three augmented-ARDL regressions, where one cointegrating equation was suggested each for inflation and growth models, and none for the unemployment model. Our long-run results reveal the trivial effect of either inflation or unemployment rates on the economic growth of Ethiopia; signifying, perhaps, exclusiveness in the country's growth scenery. But, their transitory roles are anticipated. In turn, the long-term relationship between inflation and economic growth is not non-trivial, with inflation associated inversely with unemployment. Apart from some recent moves on renovating Ethiopia's agriculture, it would be of substantial influence to promptly sustain income growth and calm-down price spikes by reassuring, at best, labor-intensive venture and incentivizing pro-ductivity in the rest sector.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Examining the Effects of Inflation and Unemployment on Economic Growth in Iran (1996-2012)
    Mohseni, Mehrnoosh
    Jouzaryan, Feizolah
    1ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS, 2016, 36 : 381 - 389
  • [22] The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Remittances, Inflation, Education, Trade and Unemployment on the Palestinian Economic Growth
    Al-Mutairi, Abdullah
    Naser, Dina
    Naser, Hani
    Naser, Kamal
    MONTENEGRIN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2024, 20 (03) : 177 - 190
  • [23] Assessing the effect of trade and FDI on growth-unemployment nexus
    Aleksandraviciene, Akvile
    Butkus, Mindaugas
    Kadisa, Tomas
    EQUILIBRIUM-QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY, 2024, 19 (01): : 59 - 91
  • [24] Inflation and the finance-growth nexus
    Huang, Ho-Chuan
    Lin, Shu-Chin
    Kim, Dong-Hyeon
    Yeh, Chih-Chuan
    ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2010, 27 (01) : 229 - 236
  • [25] A Multiple and Partial Wavelet Analysis of the Oil Price, Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia
    Aloui, Chaker
    Hkiri, Besma
    Hammoudeh, Shawkat
    Shahbaz, Muhammad
    EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 2018, 54 (04) : 935 - 956
  • [26] AN ASSESSMENT OF FEEDBACK EFFECTS IN THE INFLATION-ECONOMIC GROWTH NEXUS: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA
    Oladeji, S. I.
    Adegboye, A. A.
    GHANA SOCIAL SCIENCE JOURNAL, 2011, 8 (1-2): : 22 - 39
  • [27] Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment. An Empirical Evidence using the ARDL approach from Tunisia, Egypt and Saudi Arabia
    Mahfoudh, Naoufel
    Halim, Mona
    Rezk, Walaa
    MONTENEGRIN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2024, 20 (03) : 19 - 38
  • [28] Inflation thresholds and the finance-growth nexus
    Rousseau, PL
    Wachtel, P
    JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2002, 21 (06) : 777 - 793
  • [29] Is there a Nexus between Inflation, Exchange Rate and Unemployment in South Africa: An Econometric Analysis?
    Semosa, Pheto
    Kanayo, Ogujiuba
    MONTENEGRIN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2021, 17 (01) : 45 - 58
  • [30] Government Size, Unemployment and Inflation Nexus in Eight Large Emerging Market Economies
    Afonso, Antonio
    Sen, Huseyin
    Kaya, Ayse
    HACIENDA PUBLICA ESPANOLA-REVIEW OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 2021, (236): : 133 - 170