Systemic risks from climate-related disruptions at ports

被引：21

作者：

Verschuur, Jasper ^{[1
]}

Koks, Elco E. ^{[1
,2
]}

Hall, Jim W. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Oxford Programme Sustainable Infrastruct Syst OPSI, Oxford, England

[2] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2023年 / 13卷 / 08期

基金：

英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/s41558-023-01754-w

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Climate-induced extreme events could disrupt the operation of ports globally, which could affect maritime transport, trade and supply chains. The authors estimate wider impact on the trade and economic activities across different sectors, finding that globally large economic cost is at-risk. Disruptions to ports from climate extremes can have systemic impacts on global shipping, trade and supply chains. By combining estimated climatic-related port downtime at 1,320 ports with a global model of transport flows, we pinpoint systemic risks to global maritime transport, trade and supply-chain networks. We estimate a total of US$81 billion of global trade and at least US$122 billion of economic activity being at-risk on average annually.

引用

页码：804 / +

页数：9

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