Asymmetric hysteresis response of mid-latitude storm tracks to CO2 removal

被引:6
|
作者
Hwang, Jaeyoung [1 ]
Son, Seok-Woo [1 ]
Garfinkel, Chaim I. [2 ]
Woollings, Tim [3 ]
Yoon, Hyunsuk [1 ]
An, Soon-Il [4 ,5 ]
Yeh, Sang-Wook [6 ]
Min, Seung-Ki [5 ,7 ]
Kug, Jong-Seong [5 ]
Shin, Jongsoo [8 ]
机构
[1] Seoul Natl Univ, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Seoul, South Korea
[2] Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Fredy & Nadine Herrmann Inst Earth Sci, Edmond J Safra Campus, Jerusalem, Israel
[3] Univ Oxford, Atmospher Ocean & Planetary Phys, Oxford, England
[4] Yonsei Univ, Irreversible Climate Change Res Ctr, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seoul, South Korea
[5] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea
[6] Hanyang Univ, Dept Marine Sci & Convergence Technol, ERICA, Ansan, South Korea
[7] Yonsei Univ, Inst Convergence Res & Educ Adv Technol, Seoul, South Korea
[8] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Woods Hole, MA USA
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
OCEAN HEAT UPTAKE; NORTH-ATLANTIC; FUTURE CHANGES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; WIND-SPEED; MODEL; REDISTRIBUTION; SIMULATIONS; ATMOSPHERE; ENSEMBLE;
D O I
10.1038/s41558-024-01971-x
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In a warming climate, storm tracks are projected to intensify on their poleward side. Here we use large-ensemble CO2 ramp-up and ramp-down simulations to show that these changes are not reversed when CO2 concentrations are reduced. If CO2 is removed from the atmosphere following CO2 increase, the North Atlantic storm track keeps strengthening until the middle of the CO2 removal, while the recovery of the North Pacific storm track during ramp-down is stronger than its shift during ramp-up. By contrast, the Southern Hemisphere storm track weakens during ramp-down at a rate much faster than its strengthening in the warming period. Compared with the present climate, the Northern Hemisphere storm track becomes stronger and the Southern Hemisphere storm track becomes weaker at the end of CO2 removal. These hemispherically asymmetric storm-track responses are attributable to the weakened Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the delayed cooling of the Southern Ocean.
引用
收藏
页码:496 / 503
页数:10
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