A novel forecasting strategy for improving the performance of deep learning models

被引:12
作者
Livieris, Ioannis E. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Patras, Dept Math, GR-26500 Patras, Greece
关键词
Time-series; Deep learning; CNN-LSTM; CNN-LSTM-Att; Stationarity; ADF test; KPSS test; SHORT-TERM-MEMORY; TIME-SERIES; STEP;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120632
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this research, a new strategy is introduced for the development of robust, efficient and reliable deep learning time-series models, which is based on a sophisticated algorithmic framework. The novelty and the rationale of the proposed framework is based on efficiently handling multivariate time-series data in order to obtain "high-quality"and "suitable"training data for fitting a deep learning time-series model. The suitability of the time-series data was achieved through the application of a series of transformations for addressing non-stationarity, which is usually presented in many real-world time-series and it is mainly responsible for the performance degradation of a time-series model as well as its forecasting unreliability. The conducted numerical experiments performed on four real-world multivariate datasets, utilizing two state-of-the-art deep learning models, provided convincing experimental evidence about the efficacy and efficiency of our approach.
引用
收藏
页数:15
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