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SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario, Canada, December 25, 2019, to December 1, 2020
被引:4
作者:
Fung, Isaac Chun-Hai
[1
]
Hung, Yuen Wai
[2
]
Ofori, Sylvia K.
[1
]
Muniz-Rodriguez, Kamalich
[1
]
Lai, Po-Ying
[3
]
Chowell, Gerardo
[4
]
机构:
[1] Georgia Southern Univ, Jiann Ping Hsu Coll Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat Epidemiol & Environm Hlth, Statesboro, GA USA
[2] Wilfrid Laurier Univ, Dept Hlth Sci, Waterloo, ON, Canada
[3] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, Boston, MA USA
[4] Georgia State Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Populat Hlth Sci, Atlanta, GA USA
关键词:
Canada;
coronavirus;
COVID-19;
epidemiology;
infectious disease;
SARS-CoV-2;
transmission;
COVID-19;
OUTBREAK;
CHINA;
D O I:
10.1017/dmp.2021.78
中图分类号:
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号:
1004 ;
120402 ;
摘要:
Objective: This study aimed to investigate coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemiology in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. Methods: Using data through December 1, 2020, we estimated time-varying reproduction number, R-t, using EpiEstim package in R, and calculated incidence rate ratios (IRR) across the 3 provinces. Results: In Ontario, 76% (92 745/121 745) of cases were in Toronto, Peel, York, Ottawa, and Durham; in Alberta, 82% (49 878/61 169) in Calgary and Edmonton; in British Columbia, 90% (31 142/34 699) in Fraser and Vancouver Coastal. Across 3 provinces, R-t dropped to <= 1 after April. In Ontario, R-t would remain < 1 in April if congregate-setting-associated cases were excluded. Over summer, R-t maintained < 1 in Ontario, similar to 1 in British Columbia, and similar to 1 in Alberta, except early July when R-t was > 1. In all 3 provinces, R-t was > 1, reflecting surges in case count from September through November. Compared with British Columbia (684.2 cases per 100 000), Alberta (IRR = 2.0; 1399.3 cases per 100 000) and Ontario (IRR = 1.2; 835.8 cases per 100 000) had a higher cumulative case count per 100 000 population. Conclusions: Alberta and Ontario had a higher incidence rate than British Columbia, but R-t trajectories were similar across all 3 provinces.
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页码:2428 / 2437
页数:10
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