Stability analysis and optimal control strategies of a fractional-order monkeypox virus infection model

被引:24
作者
El-Mesady, A. [1 ]
Adel, Waleed [2 ,3 ]
Elsadany, A. A. [4 ,5 ]
Elsonbaty, Amr [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Menoufia Univ, Fac Elect Engn, Dept Phys & Engn Math, Menoufia 32952, Egypt
[2] Univ Francaise Egypte, Lab Interdisciplinaire, UFEID Lab, Cairo 11837, Egypt
[3] Mansoura Univ, Fac Engn, Dept Math & Engn Phys, Mansoura, Egypt
[4] Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz Univ, Coll Sci & Humanities Al Kharj, Dept Math, Al Kharj 11942, Saudi Arabia
[5] Suez Canal Univ, Fac Comp & Informat, Basic Sci Dept, New Campus, Ismailia 41522, Egypt
关键词
monkeypox virus; epidemics; equilibrium points; stability; fractional caputo derivatives; local stability;
D O I
10.1088/1402-4896/acf16f
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this study, the spread of the monkeypox virus is investigated through the dynamical study of a novel Caputo fractional order monkeypox epidemic model. The interaction between human and rodent populations along with the effects of control signals are considered in the model. These control signals are established through the optimal control strategy. Furthermore, the effect of memory is examined via varying fractional order parameters in the model. The influences of other parameters are also examined. The positivity and boundness of the solution are verified through theoretical analysis. In addition, the equilibrium points for the system are obtained for both the free and endemic cases, and the local stability has been studied. To verify the theoretical findings, numerical experiments are conducted. The optimal control signals are obtained and verified through numerical simulations of different configurations of control parameters. From these simulations, it is found that the optimal control scheme can help in reducing the size of the infected, quarantined, and exposed categories while increasing the susceptible and recovered categories. These acquired results can provide some assistance to governments in providing some preventive control to suppress the spread of the virus.
引用
收藏
页数:26
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