Prognostic impact of complex and/or monosomal karyotypes in post-transplant poor cytogenetic acute myeloid leukaemia: A quantitative approach

To evaluate the prognostic impact of complex karyotype (CK) and/or monosomal karyotype (MK) in combination with various clinical factors on allogeneic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) outcomes of patients with acute myeloid leukaemia (AML), we analysed the registry database of adult AML patients who underwent allogeneic HSCT between 2000 and 2019 in Japan. Among 16 094 patients, those with poor cytogenetic risk (N = 3345) showed poor overall survival (OS) after HSCT (25.3% at 5 years). Multivariate analyses revealed that CK and/or MK (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31 for CK without MK; 1.27 for MK without CK; and 1.73 for both), age at HSCT =50 years (HR, 1.58), male sex (HR, 1.40), performance status =2 (HR, 1.89), HCT-CI score =3 (HR, 1.23), non-remission status at HSCT (HR, 2.49), and time from diagnosis to HSCT =3 months (HR, 1.24) independently reduced post-HSCT OS among patients with poor cytogenetic risk AML. A risk scoring system based on the multivariate analysis successfully stratified patients into five distinct groups for OS. This study confirms the negative effects of CK and MK on post-HSCT outcomes, and offers a powerful risk scoring system for predicting prognoses after HSCT among AML patients with unfavourable cytogenetics.