Productivity gaps at formal and informal microfirms

Although evidence of a productivity gap between formal and informal firms has been observed, this "for-mality premium" has been less explored for microfirms. The informality of microfirms is a central con-cern in low-and middle-income countries, leading to a crucial demand for designing economic policies addressing this issue. We fill this void by estimating a productivity premium for the case of Colombia, considering two margins of formality for microfirms: extensive, referring to business registra-tion, and intensive, which includes labor regulations. We use a unique longitudinal dataset from the Microenterprise Survey by the Colombian Statistics Department, which follows approximately 39,000 micro-establishments with up to nine employees during 2012-2016. We utilize the transition into and out of formality to estimate the productivity premium (yearly sales per worker) between informal and formal firms, thereby exploring differences concerning initial productivity. We use a fixed-effects quan-tile regression to explore differential effects along the productivity distribution. We find evidence of a premium for both the extensive (18%) and intensive margins (7%), a gap that decreases with a firm's pro-ductivity when considering a strict definition of formality. The evidence of these premiums is related to two growth strategies of firms: an increase in capital investments for the extensive margin and an increase in human capital quality for the intensive margin. Further, we find the premium is notably wider for young firms (less than three years in the business) relative to the older; and for the least productive 'necessity' driven businesses in comparison with the business-driven businesses. We do not find system-atic differences according to the gender of the owners. These results are new evidence to support the existence of a premium and the transition into and out of formality for microfirms in middle-income countries. Moreover, they suggest that microfirms' formalization and growth policies should be oriented toward promoting and enhancing formality's benefits.(c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.