Diagnostic value of procalcitonin and red blood cell distribution width at admission on the prognosis of patients with severe burns: A retrospective analysis

The plasma procalcitonin (PCT) concentration and red blood cell distribution (RDW) value after severe burns can be used as prognostic indicators, but at present, it is difficult to give consideration to sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing the prognosis of severe burns with a single indicator. This study analysed the diagnostic value of plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission on the prognosis of severe burn patients to improve its sensitivity and specificity. A total of 205 patients with severe burns who were treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from November 2017 to November 2022 were retrospectively analysed. The optimal cut-off values of plasma PCT concentration and RDW were analysed and counted through the subject curve (ROC curve). According to the cut-off value, patients were divided into high PCT group and low PCT group, high RDW group and low RDW group. The independent risk factors of severe burns were analysed by single-factor and multiple-factor COX regression. Kaplan-Meier survival was used to analyse the mortality of high PCT group and low PCT group, high RDW group and low RDW group. The area under the curve of plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission was 0.761 (95% CI, 0.662-0.860, P < .001), 0.687 (95% CI, 0.554-0.820, P = .003) respectively, and the optimal cut-off values of serum PCT concentration and RDW were 2.775 ng/mL and 14.55% respectively. Cox regression analysis found that age, TBSA, and RDW were independent risk factors for mortality within 90 days after severe burns. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that there was a significant difference in the 90-day mortality rate of severe burns between the PCT & GE; 2.775 ng/mL group and the PCT < 2.775 ng/mL group (log-rank: 24.162; P < .001), with the mortality rate of 36.84% versus 5.49%, respectively. The 90-day mortality rate of severe burns was significantly different between the RDW & GE; 14.55% group and the RDW < 14.55% group (log-rank: 14.404; P < .001), with the mortality rate of 44% versus 12.2% respectively. The plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission are both of diagnostic value for the 90-day mortality of severe burns, but the plasma PCT concentration has higher sensitivity and the RDW value has higher specificity. Age, TBSA, and RDW were independent risk factors for severe burns, and then plasma PCT concentration was not independent risk factors.