Risk Analysis on Groundwater Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Blind Number Theory

被引：5
作者：
ZHANG Ji1
2. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
3. School of Environmental Science and Engineering
机构：
来源：
Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences | 2007年 / 04期
关键词：
blind number theory; groundwater resources; carrying capac-ity evaluation; risk analysis;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
P641 [水文地质学（地下水水文学）];
学科分类号：
0818 ; 081803 ;
摘要：
Blind numbers of evaluation indices about groundwater re-sources carrying capacity are defined from the concomitancy of random-ness,fuzziness,grey property and unascertainment of groundwater system. Based on fuzzy theory,a comprehensive evaluation model on groundwater resources carrying capacity is constructed with blind information. Then a risk assessment model of surcharge about groundwater resources carrying capacity is established on blind reliability theory. The probable value ""matrix of fuzzy membership degree about carrying capacity corre-sponding to each judgment level can be obtained with the aid of blind algo-rithm as well as the subjective reliability "×" matrix. And then a graph of "groundwater carrying capacity v.s. accumulative reliability" can be gained. Based on the graph,fuzzy membership degree of groundwater resources carrying capacity to each judgment level under different risk probability can be got. Thus,a comparatively reasonable judgment to groundwater resources carrying capacity might be obtained,with comprehensive analy-sis to the state of society,economy technology and ecology.
引用
收藏
页码：669 / 676
页数：8
相关论文
共 23 条
  • [11] Primary Study on Analysis of Unascertained Risk of River Water Quality Based on Blind Number Theory. LI Ruzhong,Qian Jiazhong,Wan Jiaquan,et al. Water Resources and Power . 2003
  • [12] Looking for the Ceiling: Estimates of the Earth’s Carring Capacity. Hrlich A H. American Scientist, Research Triangle Park . 1996
  • [13] Application of Multi-level Fuzzy Comprehensive Discrimination in Evalua- tion of Regional Natural Resources Carrying Capacity. Lei Nengzhong,Xu Feng,Ruan Liyuan,et al. Journal of Anhui Technical Teachers College . 2004
  • [14] Groundwater Resources Evaluation in Plain Area. Jin Guangyan. . 1992
  • [15] Remark on the Relationship between Water Resources Rational Allocation, Carrying Capacity and Sustainable Development. Li Lingyue,Gan Hong. Advances in Water Resources . 2000
  • [16] A Comprehensive Evaluation of the Regional Water Resources Carrying Capacity. Fu Xiang,Ji Changming. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin . 1999
  • [17] Application of Matter Element Model to Evaluating on Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Groundwater. Men Baohui,Wang Zhiliang,Liang Chuan. Journal of Sichuan University(Engineering Science Education) . 2003
  • [18] Unascertained Mathematics Theory. Liu Kaidi,Wu Heqin,Wang Nianpeng,et al. . 1999
  • [19] Fuzzy-Based Evaluation of Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Its Ap- plication. Min Qingwen,Yu Weidong,Zhang Jianxin. Research of Soil and Water Conservation . 2004
  • [20] Projiection Pursuit Method of Comprehensive Evaluation on Groundwater Re- sources Carrying Capacity in Guan Zhong Plain. Wang Shunjiu,Yang Zhifeng,Ding Jing. Resources Science . 2004
123