Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set

被引：12
作者：
CHEN HuoPo [1 ,2 ]
SUN JianQi [1 ,2 ]
LI HuiXin [1 ,3 ]
机构：
[1] Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
[2] Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology
[3] College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
来源：
AtmosphericandOceanicScienceLetters | 2017年 / 10卷 / 06期
关键词：
极端降水; 预估; CMIP5; NEX-GDDP;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
P423 [大气温度]; P426.6 [降水];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
最近,NASA发布了一套基于CMIP5 21个耦合模式输出的高分辨率降尺度逐日数据集,简称NEX-GDDP。本文评估了NEX-GDDP对中国极端降水的模拟性能。研究发现:(1)相比CMIP5直接输出结果,NEX-GDDP能够更好刻画中国极端降水的空间分布;(2)未来中国极端降水事件明显增多、强度增强,NEX-GDDP在区域尺度上给出了更多的气候变化信息;(3)NEXGDDP预估的中国未来极端降水变化的不确定性范围相比CMIP5直接输出结果明显减少,使得预估结果更加可靠.
引用
收藏
页码：403 / 410
页数：8
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