Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with esophageal cancer following radiotherapy

AIM:To evaluate long-term outcomes and prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(SCC) treated with three dimensional conformal radiotherapy(3D-CRT).METHODS:Between January 2005 and December 2006,153 patients(120 males,33 females) with pathologically confirmed esophageal SCC and treated with 3D-CRT in Cancer Hospital of Shantou University were included in this retrospective analysis.Median age was 60 years(range:37-84 years).The proportion of tumor location was as follows:upper thorax(including the cervical region),73(48%);middle thorax,73(48%);lower thorax,7(5%),respectively.The median radiation dose was 64 Gy(range:50-74 Gy).Fifty four cases(35%) received cisplatin-based concurrent chemotherapy.Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to determine the association between the correlative factors and prognosis.RESULTS:The five-year overall survival rate was 26.3%,with a median follow-up of 49 mo(range:3-66 mo) for patients who were still alive.On univariate analysis,lesion location,lesion length by barium esophagogram,computed tomography imaging characteristics including Y diameter(anterior-posterior,AP,extent of tumor),gross tumor volume of primary lesion(GTV-E),volume of positive lymph nodes(GTV-LN),and the total target volume(GTV-T = GTV-E + GTVLN) were prognostic for overall survival.By multivariate analysis,only the Y diameter [hazard ratio(HR) 2.219,95%CI 1.141-4.316,P = 0.019] and the GTV-T(HR 1.372,95%CI 1.044-1.803,P = 0.023) were independent prognostic factors for survival.CONCLUSION:The overall survival of esophageal carcinoma patients undergoing 3D-CRT was promising.The best predictors for survival were GTV-T and Y diameter.