中国能源消费碳排放的空间计量分析(英文)

被引:27
|
作者
揣小伟 [1 ]
黄贤金 [1 ,2 ]
王婉晶 [1 ]
文继群 [1 ]
陈强 [3 ]
彭佳文 [1 ]
机构
[1] School of Geographic and Oceaographic Sciences,Nanjing University
[2] Housing and Urban Construction Bureau,Gaochun
[3] Land Development and Consolidation Technology Engineering Center of Jiangsu Province
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
carbon emissions; temporospatial change; spatial autocorrelation; spatial regression; China;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
X502 [污染分析与测定];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ; 083002 ;
摘要
Based on energy consumption data of each region in China from 1997 to 2009 and using ArcGIS9.3 and GeoDA9.5 as technical support,this paper made a preliminary study on the changing trend of spatial pattern at regional level of carbon emissions from energy con-sumption,spatial autocorrelation analysis of carbon emissions,spatial regression analysis between carbon emissions and their influencing factors.The analyzed results are shown as follows.(1) Carbon emissions from energy consumption increased more than 148% from 1997 to 2009 but the spatial pattern of high and low emission regions did not change greatly.(2) The global spatial autocorrelation of carbon emissions from energy consumption in-creased from 1997 to 2009,the spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there exists a "polarization" phenomenon,the centre of "High-High" agglomeration did not change greatly but expanded currently,the centre of "Low-Low" agglomeration also did not change greatly but narrowed currently.(3) The spatial regression analysis showed that carbon emissions from energy consumption has a close relationship with GDP and population,R-squared rate of the spatial regression between carbon emissions and GDP is higher than that between carbon emissions and population.The contribution of population to carbon emissions in-creased but the contribution of GDP decreased from 1997 to 2009.The carbon emissions spillover effect was aggravated from 1997 to 2009 due to both the increase of GDP and population,so GDP and population were the two main factors which had strengthened the spatial autocorrelation of carbon emissions.
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页码:630 / 642
页数:13
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