Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global crude oil shipping carbon emissions

被引：1

作者：

Lyu, Di ^{[1
]}

Zhao, Pengjun ^{[1
,2
]}

Zhu, Weiwang ^{[3
]}

Li, Weifeng ^{[4
,5
]}

Ling, Yingkai ^{[6
]}

Pang, Liang ^{[7
]}

Zhang, Shiyi ^{[1
]}

Xu, Yongjian ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Peking Univ, Sch Urban Planning & Design, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China

[2] Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Room 275, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China

[3] Peking Univ, Coll Architecture & Landscape, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China

[4] Univ Hong Kong, Deparmtent Urban Planning, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China

[5] Univ Hong Kong, Design & Urban Syst Inst, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China

[6] Peking Univ, Sch Govt, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China

[7] China Merchants Bank Co Ltd, Shenzhen 518038, Peoples R China

来源：

JOURNAL OF TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHY | 2025年 / 128卷

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Carbon emissions; Crude oil shipping; Russia-Ukraine conflict; Geopolitical conflict; EXHAUST EMISSIONS; CONSUMPTION; SYSTEM;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104311

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Global shipping is a major contributor to carbon emissions and climate change, a dynamic influenced by geopolitical crises. This study examines the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on carbon emissions from global crude oil shipping by analyzing 5.6 billion AIS shipping route records (January 2021-December 2023). The key findings are as follows: (1) One year into the conflict, emissions dropped 5.8 %, transport distances increased by 2.7 %, and shipping volume declined by 9.7 %. (2) Regional disparities emerged: emissions fell in the North Atlantic, Mediterranean, China, and Russia, but rose in the Indian and Pacific Oceans, Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa. (3) Early conflict periods saw volatile emissions, which later stabilized with the establishment of new routes. Regression analysis supports these findings, underscoring the environmental impact of geopolitical conflicts and offering insights for sustainable shipping strategies.

引用

页数：14

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