Global warming modelling simulation based on the numerical weather prediction system

被引:0
作者
Brahmane, Jayant [1 ]
Kakade, Kiran S. [2 ]
Patil, Ameya [3 ]
Chitranshi, Jaya [4 ]
Jain, Arjita [5 ]
Natu, Pankaj Ramesh [6 ]
机构
[1] SGPCs Guru Nanak Inst Management Studies, Mumbai, India
[2] Symbiosis Int Deemed Univ, Symbiosis Inst Management Studies SIMS, Fac Management, Pune, India
[3] MIT World Peace Univ, Pune, India
[4] Symbiosis Int Deemed Univ, Symbiosis Inst Management Studies, Pune, India
[5] NCRDs Sterling Inst Management Studies, Navi Mumbai, India
[6] Welingkar Inst Management Dev & Res, WeSchool, Mumbai, India
关键词
data-driven model; deep learning; weather forecasting; climate modelling; numerical weather prediction; NWP; CLIMATE-CHANGE; VEGETATION DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1504/IJGW.2025.146270
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Accurately and efficiently simulating the climate and predicting the weather are universal goals in the realm of human advancement. Despite its status as the gold standard, numerical weather prediction (NWP) faces challenges due to inherent atmospheric uncertainty and high processing costs, particularly in the post-Moore's Law era. This article summarises the most significant models and noteworthy advances in climate modelling and data-driven weather forecasting. These models reduce prediction times from hours to seconds, outperforming state-of-the-art NWP techniques in over 90% of the variables. Data-driven climate models can accurately reproduce climate patterns across periods ranging from decades to centuries, significantly reducing computational effort and increasing efficiency. However, despite their numerous advantages, data-driven techniques also have notable limitations. These include difficulty in interpreting forecasts, challenges in evaluating model uncertainty, and overly cautious predictions under extreme conditions. The proposed system achieves an accuracy of 96.7%.
引用
收藏
页码:117 / 133
页数:18
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