A unified treatment of risk and ambiguity within a rank-dependent framework

被引:0
作者
Buchak, Lara [1 ]
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
关键词
Decision theory; Risk; Ambiguity; Allais Paradox; Ellsberg paradox; Rank-dependence; Prospect theory; LARA BUCHAKS RISK; EXPECTED UTILITY; SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES; IMPRECISE CREDENCES; NONEXPECTED UTILITY; DECISION-THEORY; PROSPECT-THEORY; RATIONALITY; AXIOMATIZATION; INDEPENDENCE;
D O I
10.1007/s11238-025-10043-1
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper introduces a rank-dependent decision theory that allows for, explicitly characterizes, and separates probabilistic risk-aversion and ambiguity-aversion. While these phenomena have previously been given independent treatments by theories that extend expected utility in different ways, we provide a unified treatment that preserves the distinctness of each phenomenon. The unified theory holds that a decision-maker assigns 'as-if' probabilities to events: where she holds events to be unambiguous, these probabilities are additive, and where she holds events to be ambiguous, they are non-additive and represent her attitude towards ambiguity. The decision-maker then distorts these as-if probabilities according to her attitude towards probabilistic risk, and uses the new weights to assess acts according to rank-dependent utility. We axiomatize this theory and show that assessments of probability, attitudes towards ambiguity, attitudes towards probabilistic risk, and utilities are all distinct features of preference.
引用
收藏
页数:28
相关论文
共 87 条
[1]  
Ahmed A., 2016, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science Review of Books
[2]  
Allais M., 1979, EXPECTED UTILITY HYP, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-94-015-7629-1_2
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1990, Acting and reflecting: The interdisciplinary turn in philosophy, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-94-009-2476-511
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1974, J. Philos., DOI DOI 10.2307/2025161
[5]   A DEFINITION OF SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY [J].
ANSCOMBE, FJ ;
AUMANN, RJ .
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1963, 34 (01) :199-&
[6]   On Risk and Rationality [J].
Armendt, Brad .
ERKENNTNIS, 2014, 79 :1119-1127
[7]   UTILITY-THEORY WITHOUT THE COMPLETENESS AXIOM [J].
AUMANN, RJ .
ECONOMETRICA, 1962, 30 (03) :445-462
[8]  
Bottomley C., Philosophy and Phenomenological Research
[9]   ELLSBERG'S PARADOX AND THE VALUE OF CHANCES [J].
Bradley, Richard .
ECONOMICS AND PHILOSOPHY, 2016, 32 (02) :231-248
[10]   SHOULD SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES BE SHARP? [J].
Bradley, Seamus ;
Steele, Katie .
EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY, 2014, 11 (03) :277-289