Assessing Groundwater Potential in the Kabul River Basin of Pakistan: A GIS and Analytical Hierarchy Process Approach for Sustainable Water Management

The rapid urbanization in the Kabul River Basin has increased the demand for water for both drinking and commercial purposes, leading to domestic and industrial water insecurity. Assessing the groundwater potential of the Kabul River Basin is highly crucial for effective water management. The aim of this paper is to identify potential zones for groundwater by employing a Geographic Information System and an Analytical Hierarchy Process approach to formulate a cumulative score based on seven thematic images-rainfall, geology, lineament density, drainage density, land use/land cover, soil type, and slope-within the Kabul River, with assigned weightages of 32%, 27%, 12%, 10%, 8%, 6%, and 5%, respectively, with a consistency ratio of 0.053 (5%), demonstrating the reliability of the results. The study shows that the first three factors contribute more to the percentages of Groundwater Potential Zones. The identified groundwater potential is classified into very good, good, medium, poor, and very poor zones, covering 35.45% (19,989 km2), 37.2% (20,978 km2), 23.16% (13,063 km2), 4.13% (2332 km2), and 0.06% (19 km2), respectively. Groundwater potential in the basin is predominantly classified as good to medium; however, there are notable variations across sub-basins. The Swat sub-basin and western parts of the Kabul River Basin, encompassing the Panjshir and Parwan districts, exhibit exceptionally high groundwater potential. In contrast, the Panjkora sub-basin (Dir district) and southwestern areas of the Kabul River Basin, covering parts of the Ghazni and Wardak districts, have very limited groundwater potential.