[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, KOF Swiss Econ Inst, Leonhardstr 21, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Univ Zurich, Dept Econ, Blumlisalpstr 10, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland
[3] Univ Lille, IESEG Sch Management, CNRS, UMR 9221 LEM Lille Econ Management, F-59000 Lille, France
[4] iRisk Res Ctr Risk & Uncertainty, Paris, France