IMPACT OF OPINION FORMATION PHENOMENA IN EPIDEMIC DYNAMICS: KINETIC MODELING ON NETWORKS

被引:1
作者
Albi, Giacomo [1 ]
Calzola, Elisa [1 ]
Dimarco, Giacomo [2 ,3 ]
Zanella, Mattia [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Verona, Dept Comp Sci, Str le Grazie 15, I-37134 Verona, Italy
[2] Univ Ferrara, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Via Machiavelli 30, I-44121 Ferrara, Italy
[3] Univ Ferrara, Ctr Modeling Comp & Stat CMCS, Via Machiavelli 30, I-44121 Ferrara, Italy
[4] Univ Pavia, Dept Math, Via Ferrata 5, I-27100 Pavia, Italy
关键词
multiagent systems; epidemiology; opinion dynamics; Boltzmann equation; Fokker-- Planck equation; SPATIAL SPREAD; EQUATIONS; OUTBREAKS;
D O I
10.1137/24M1696901
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
After the recent COVID-19 outbreaks, it became increasingly evident that individuals' thoughts and beliefs can have a strong impact on disease transmission. It becomes therefore important to understand how information and opinions on protective measures evolve during epidemics. To this end, incorporating the impact of social media is essential to take into account the hierarchical structure of these platforms. In this context, we present a novel approach to take into account the interplay between infectious disease dynamics and socially structured opinion dynamics. Our work extends a conventional compartmental framework including behavioral attitudes in shaping public opinion and promoting the adoption of protective measures under the influence of different degrees of connectivity. The proposed approach is able to reproduce the emergence of epidemic waves. Specifically, it provides a clear link between the social influence of highly connected individuals and the epidemic dynamics. Through a heterogeneity of numerical tests we show how this comprehensive framework offers a more nuanced understanding of epidemic dynamics in the context of modern information dissemination and social behavior.
引用
收藏
页码:779 / 805
页数:27
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