A New Insight into Sulfate Contamination in Over-Exploited Groundwater Areas: Integrating Multivariate and Geostatistical Techniques

The issue of sulfate (SO42-) pollution in groundwater has already attracted widespread attention from scientists. However, at the large-scale regional level, especially in areas with groundwater overexploitation, the pollution mechanisms and sources of sulfate remain unclear. This study innovatively investigates the spatial distribution characteristics and sources of SO42- in the groundwater of the Hutuo River alluvial fan area, an understudied region facing significant environmental challenges due to overexploitation. Utilizing a combination of hydrochemical analysis, multivariate statistical methods, and geostatistical techniques, we reveal that the mean concentration of SO42- is significantly higher (127 mg/L) in overexploited areas, with an exceedance rate of 5.1%. Our findings uncover substantial spatial heterogeneity in SO42- concentrations, with particularly high levels in the river valley plain (RVP) (175 mg/L) and the upper area of the alluvial fan (UAF) (169 mg/L), which we attribute to distinct human activities. A novel contribution of our study is the identification of groundwater depth as a critical factor influencing SO42- distribution (p < 0.001). We also demonstrate that the higher proportion of sulfate-type waters in overexploited areas is primarily due to the accelerated oxidation of sulfide minerals caused by overexploitation. Principal component analysis (PCA) and correlation analysis further identify the main sources of SO42- as industrial wastewater, domestic sewage, the dissolution of evaporites, and the oxidation of sulfide minerals. By integrating geostatistical techniques, we present the spatial distribution of sulfate pollution sources at a fine scale, providing a comprehensive and spatially explicit understanding of the pollution dynamics. These results offer a novel scientific basis for developing targeted strategies to control sulfate pollution and protect the sustainable use of regional groundwater resources. Our study thus fills a critical knowledge gap and provides actionable insights for groundwater management in similar regions facing overexploitation challenges.