Global disparities in rural and urban population exposure to compound drought and heatwave events

被引:0
作者
Li, Tao [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,6 ]
Song, Fengjiao [1 ,2 ]
De Cock, Andree [3 ]
De Maeyer, Philippe [4 ,5 ,6 ]
Bao, Jiayu [7 ]
Yuan, Ye [1 ]
Naibi, Sulei [1 ,2 ]
Bao, Anming [1 ,4 ,8 ,9 ,10 ]
Ho, Long Tuan [3 ]
Goethals, Peter [3 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Key Lab Ecol Safety & Sustainable Dev Arid Lands, Urumqi, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Ghent, Dept Anim Sci & Aquat Ecol, Ghent, Belgium
[4] Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Urumqi, Peoples R China
[5] Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Ghent, Belgium
[6] Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, Ghent, Belgium
[7] Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[8] Xinjiang Key Lab RS & GIS Applicat, Urumqi, Peoples R China
[9] CAS HEC, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad, Pakistan
[10] Qinghai Forestry Carbon Sequestrat Serv Ctr, Xining, Peoples R China
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE;
D O I
10.1038/s41612-025-01025-9
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The high occurrence of compound drought and heatwave events (CDHWs), driven by global climate change, poses a serious threat to humanity. However, their impacts on rural and urban populations remain unclear. This study analyzed CDHWs exposure in both rural and urban populations and found that the number of people chronically exposed to CDHWs has shown a clear upward trend over time. From 1901 to 2021, rural populations experienced 2.5 times the total exposure to CDHWs compared to urban populations. Over the past three decades, however, urban populations have experienced significantly higher exposure and a faster rate of increase than rural populations. Regionally, rural populations in Asia, North America, and Africa accounted for 41.06, 16.51, and 13.69% of the total global rural population exposure, respectively, while urban populations in Asia, North America, and Europe accounted for 32.31, 18.70, and 16.85% of global urban exposure, respectively. The climate-population interactive effects have been the dominant factors driving recent changes in population exposure. Our findings contribute to the risk assessment of CDHWs at both global and regional levels and provide reliable information for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies.
引用
收藏
页数:11
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