The contractionary effects of protectionist trade policy

被引:1
作者
Uribe-Teran, Carlos [1 ,2 ]
Grijalva, Diego F. [3 ,4 ]
Gachet, Ivan [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Sch Econ, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador
[2] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, USFQ Data Hub, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador
[3] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Sch Business, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador
[4] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Inst Empresa & Desarrollo IED, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador
[5] World Bank, Ave 6 Diciembre & Boussingault,Edificio T6,Piso 13, Quito, Ecuador
关键词
Trade policy; Protectionism; Input-output linkages; Emerging markets; Latin America; INTERMEDIATE INPUTS; PRODUCTIVITY; LIBERALIZATION; PRICES; ADJUSTMENT; TARIFFS;
D O I
10.1007/s10290-025-00582-8
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We examine the firm-level effects of temporary safeguard import tariffs implemented by Ecuador in 2015-2017. The unexpected safeguards affected about one-third of imports, including intermediate inputs and final goods, creating varying exposure among firms and industries due to their unique import profiles. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we analyze immediate, short-run, and medium-run effects on importing and local non-importing firms. While importing firms experienced temporary negative effects-reduced import growth, sales, and input demand-that disappeared after the safeguards ended, local non-importing firms suffered persistent adverse impacts through their supply chains, particularly in non-import-competing industries.
引用
收藏
页数:48
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