The contractionary effects of protectionist trade policy

被引：1

作者：

Uribe-Teran, Carlos ^{[1
,2
]}

Grijalva, Diego F. ^{[3
,4
]}

Gachet, Ivan ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Sch Econ, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador

[2] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, USFQ Data Hub, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador

[3] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Sch Business, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador

[4] Univ San Francisco Quito USFQ, Inst Empresa & Desarrollo IED, Campus Cumbaya, Quito 170901, Ecuador

[5] World Bank, Ave 6 Diciembre & Boussingault,Edificio T6,Piso 13, Quito, Ecuador

来源：

REVIEW OF WORLD ECONOMICS | 2025年

关键词：

Trade policy; Protectionism; Input-output linkages; Emerging markets; Latin America; INTERMEDIATE INPUTS; PRODUCTIVITY; LIBERALIZATION; PRICES; ADJUSTMENT; TARIFFS;

D O I：

10.1007/s10290-025-00582-8

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We examine the firm-level effects of temporary safeguard import tariffs implemented by Ecuador in 2015-2017. The unexpected safeguards affected about one-third of imports, including intermediate inputs and final goods, creating varying exposure among firms and industries due to their unique import profiles. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we analyze immediate, short-run, and medium-run effects on importing and local non-importing firms. While importing firms experienced temporary negative effects-reduced import growth, sales, and input demand-that disappeared after the safeguards ended, local non-importing firms suffered persistent adverse impacts through their supply chains, particularly in non-import-competing industries.

引用

页数：48

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