Modeling and analyzing the dynamics of brucellosis disease with vaccination in the fractional derivative under real cases

被引:0
|
作者
Al-Hdaibat, Bashir [1 ]
Khan, Muhammad Altaf [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Ahmad, Irfan [5 ]
Alzahrani, Ebraheem [6 ]
Akgul, Ali [7 ,8 ,9 ,10 ]
机构
[1] Hashemite Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Zarqa, Jordan
[2] Korea Univ, Sch Hlth & Environm Sci, Seoul 02841, South Korea
[3] Univ Free State, Fac Nat & Agr Sci, ZA-9300 Bloemfontein, South Africa
[4] Univ Putra Malaysia UPM, Inst Biosci, Lab Vaccine & Biomol, Serdang 43400, Selangor, Malaysia
[5] King Khalid Univ, Coll Appl Med Sci, Dept Clin Lab Sci, Abha 61421, Saudi Arabia
[6] King Abdulaziz Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, POB 80203, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
[7] SIMATS, Saveetha Sch Engn, Dept Elect & Commun Engn, Chennai, Tamilnadu, India
[8] Siirt Univ, Art & Sci Fac, Dept Math, TR-56100 Siirt, Turkiye
[9] Biruni Univ, Dept Comp Engn, TR-34010 Topkapi, Istanbul, Turkiye
[10] Near East Univ, Math Res Ctr, Dept Math, Mersin 10, TR-99138 Nicosia, Turkiye
关键词
Brucellosis vaccination system; China mainland data; Stability results; Estimations; Simulations; TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS; JILIN PROVINCE; SHEEP BRUCELLOSIS; INNER-MONGOLIA; INFECTION;
D O I
10.1007/s12190-025-02435-x
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
The present explores the brucellosis model in non-integer derivative by utilizing the real statistics from the mainland China. The formulation of the model first presented in integer order derivative and subsequently extended to fractional order using the Caputo derivative. The existence and uniqueness of the nonlinear fractional system is confirmed, which is the important requirement for a fractional nonlinear model. The local asymptotical stability of the fractional model when R-0 < 1 is analyzed. When R-0 <= 1, the model is found globally asymptotically stable. The existence of an endemic equilibria is given and found that the model has a unique endemic equilibrium. Using the reported cases of brucellosis in mainland China from 2004 to 2018 are considered. Graphical results for data fitting in cumulative and daily wise are presented with their respective residuals. The basic reproduction number is obtained from data fitting is R-0 = 1.0327. A numerical scheme for the Caputo case is provided in detailed and later the scheme was used to obtain the numerical results graphically. Various results regarding the disease curtail are presented graphically, that will be helpful for the disease elimination in the long run. The public health authority and the health agencies can utilize this work confidently for brucellosis control in mainland China.
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页数:22
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