Modelling the Spread of Foot and Mouth Disease in Different Livestock Settings in Italy to Assess the Cost Effectiveness of Potential Control Strategies

被引:1
作者
Pesciaroli, Michele [1 ]
Bellato, Alessandro [2 ]
Scaburri, Alessandra [1 ]
Santi, Annalisa [1 ]
Mannelli, Alessandro [2 ]
Bellini, Silvia [1 ]
机构
[1] Ist Zooprofilatt Sperimentale Lombardia Emilia Rom, via A Bianchi 9, I-25124 Brescia, Italy
[2] Univ Turin, Dept Vet Sci, Largo P Braccini 2, I-10095 Grugliasco, Italy
关键词
FMD; TAD; vaccination; livestock density; contingency plan; EPIDEMIC; VACCINATION; OUTBREAK; IMPACT;
D O I
10.3390/ani15030386
中图分类号
S8 [畜牧、 动物医学、狩猎、蚕、蜂];
学科分类号
0905 ;
摘要
Foot and Mouth disease (FMD) transmission is strongly related to the distribution and density of FMD-susceptible animals. In this study, we applied a model to simulate the spread of FMD in three Italian regions with different livestock demographics (densely, medium, and sparsely populated) in order to assess the cost effectiveness of the disease control options within the framework of the Italian contingency plan. The results of the simulations showed that stamping-out was sufficient to control the outbreak in the sparsely and medium populated areas whereas, in densely populated areas, only vaccinations could effectively control an outbreak. We also estimated the economic resources needed for the adoption of different control strategies, considering livestock indemnity, cleaning, disinfection and disposal, surveillance, vaccination and personnel costs. The results obtained showed that indemnity due to culling had the highest impact on the costs in all scenarios and vaccination resulted in the most cost-effective option to apply in densely populated livestock areas. The results of this study can be a useful aid to Competent Authorities in the preparation of contingency plans against FMD.
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页数:12
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