Scenario planning as a tool for peace-building in Caqueta

被引：7
作者：
Torres, Parcival Pena [1 ]
Betancourt, Claritza Marles [1 ]
Alfonso, Orlando Valera [2 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Amazonia, Florencia, Colombia
[2] Univ Habana, Havana, Cuba
来源：
REVISTA CIENTIFICA GENERAL JOSE MARIA CORDOVA | 2022年 / 20卷 / 37期
关键词：
development; future studies; peace agreement; prospective; scenarios;
D O I：
10.21830/19006586.811
中图分类号：
G40 [教育学];
学科分类号：
040101 ; 120403 ;
摘要：
This article seeks to determine future scenarios as an alternative for peace-building in Caquet & aacute;, one of the regions most affected by the armed conflict in Colombia and facing enormous challenges in the post-conflict period. To this end, it presents a descriptive study with a mixed approach based on the phases of the prospective cross-impact matrix technique, involving a sample of regional development actors from the knowledge, power, productive, and community sectors. The results reveal that future events in the dimensions of institutional capacities, illicit crops issues, victims of the conflict, and the influence of higher education, constitute the most dynamic scenarios for peace-building in the region.
引用
收藏
页数：252
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