Exploring high-risk factors for the prediction of severe mycoplasma pneumonia in children

Background: As one of the most common causes of community-acquired pneumonia in children, the prevalence of mycoplasma pneumonia (MPP) has long been underestimated. This study aimed to analyze children's severe MPP (SMPP) by examining laboratory characteristics and identifying high-risk factors. Methods: Clinical data from 447 hospitalized children with MPP were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into ordinary MPP and SMPP groups. Initial laboratory results on admission were compared between groups, and risk factors for SMPP were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and logistic regression analyses. Results: Children with SMPP exhibited significantly higher levels of neutrophils, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), along with lower lymphocyte, albumin (ALB), and prealbumin (PAB) levels compared to the ordinary MPP group (all P<0.05). SMPP children also had a higher incidence of multiple pathogens (P<0.05). ROC analysis identified cutoff values for ESR, LDH, IL-6, CRP, neutrophil percentage, and NLR, with corresponding areas under the curve (AUCs) indicating their predictive values for SMPP. A combined analysis of these factors yielded an AUC of 0.732 (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression confirmed ESR >35.50 mm/h, LDH >360.50 U/L, IL-6 >20.28 pg/mL, and CRP >9.74 mg/L as independent high-risk factors for SMPP (P<0.05). Conclusions: ESR, LDH, IL-6, CRP, neutrophil percentage, and NLR are valuable predictors for early identification of SMPP in children. These findings provide essential insights for clinical management aimed at assessing and intervening in prognosis.