Prenatal exposure to maternal smoking and adult lung cancer risk: a nested case-control study using peripheral blood leukocyte DNA methylation prediction of exposure

A prior study reported no association between prenatal smoking methylation scores and adult lung cancer risk adjusting for methylation-predicted adult smoking, without considering maternal smoking trends by birth cohort. To address this gap, we examined the association between prenatal smoking methylation scores and adult lung cancer, independent of methylation-predicted adult packyears and by birth cohort, in a study nested in CLUE II. Included were 208 incident lung cancer cases ascertained by cancer registry linkage and 208 controls matched on age, sex, and smoking. DNA methylation was measured in prediagnostic blood. We calculated two prenatal smoking scores, using 19 (Score-19) and 15 (Score-15) previously identified CpGs and a methylation-predicted adult packyears score. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusting for adult packyears score and batch effects. Score-15 was positively associated with lung cancer (per standard deviation, OR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.10-1.79, P-trend = .006), especially in the 1930-1938 birth cohort (OR = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.55-7.60, P-trend = .002). Score-19 was associated only in the 1930-1938 birth cohort (OR = 2.12, 95% CI = 1.15-3.91). Participants with both prenatal scores below the median (vs all other combinations) had lower risk (OR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.27-0.72), especially in the 1930-1938 birth cohort (OR = 0.16, 95% CI = 0.04-0.62). Among ever smokers, participants with higher prenatal smoking scores had higher risk, irrespective of adult packyears (low: OR = 2.81, 95% CI = 1.38-5.72, high: OR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.03-6.95). This prospective study suggests a positive association between prenatal smoking exposure and adult lung cancer risk, especially in the 1930-1938 birth cohort, independent of active smoking. Future studies with multiple birth cohorts are needed.