Emergence of information aggregation to rational expectations equilibria in markets populated by biased heuristic traders

被引:0
作者
Jamal, Karim [1 ]
Maier, Michael [1 ]
Sunder, Shyam [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
[2] Yale Univ, New Haven, CT USA
关键词
Anchor-and-adjust; Algorithmic traders; Representativeness heuristic; Rational expectations; Information aggregation; Zero-intelligence agents; EFFICIENCY; JUDGMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106700
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Information aggregation is a key economic function of markets. We report results of a computational experiment with markets populated by simple algorithmic traders who follow two heuristics usually thought of as leading to biased information processing in behavioral economics literature (anchor-and-adjust, and representativeness). Outcomes of these markets either tend to cluster around (or fail to do so) rational expectations equilibria under specific conditions, consistent with markets populated by profit-motivated human traders. Algorithmic trader convergence is slower and noisier than that of human traders. Our results illustrate the emergence of rational expectations equilibria through complex interactions among actions of biased heuristic traders with limited information processing capabilities.
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页数:13
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