Identifying influencing factors of metabolic syndrome in patients with major depressive disorder: A real-world study with Bayesian network modeling

Background: The bidirectional relationships between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and major depressive disorder (MDD) were discovered, but the influencing factors of the comorbidity were barely investigated. We aimed to fully explore the factors and their associations with MetS in MDD patients. Methods: The data were retrieved from the electronic medical records of a tertiary psychiatric hospital in Beijing from 2016 to 2021. The influencing factors were firstly explored by univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regressions. The propensity score matching was used to reduce the selection bias of participants. Then, the Bayesian networks (BNs) with hill-climbing algorithm and maximum likelihood estimation were preformed to explore the relationships between influencing factors with MetS in MDD patients. Results: Totally, 4126 eligible subjects were included in the data analysis. The proportion rate of MetS was 32.6 % (95 % CI: 31.2 %-34.1 %). The multivariate logistic regression suggested that recurrent depression, uric acid, duration of depression, marriage, education, number of hospitalizations were significantly associated with MetS. In the BNs, number of hospitalizations and uric acid were directly connected with MetS. Recurrent depression and family history psychiatric diseases were indirectly connected with MetS. The conditional probability of MetS in MDD patients with family history of psychiatric diseases, recurrent depression and two or more times of hospitalizations was 37.6 %. Conclusion: Using the BNs, we found that number of hospitalizations, recurrent depression and family history of psychiatric diseases contributed to the probability of MetS, which could help to make health strategies for specific MDD patients.