Correlation between initial alkaline phosphatase levels and overall survival in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients

Background: Alkaline phosphatase (ALP) reflects changes in the condition of multiple myeloma (MM) patients to some extent. However, the relationship of ALP in MM remains uncertain. Our study aimed to determine the association between initial ALP levels and overall survival in newly diagnosed MM patients. Methods: Clinical data from 202 newly diagnosed MM patients at Beijing Chaoyang Hospital between 2012 and 2016 were collected. Baseline characteristics, disease progression staging, serum markers, and patient survival data were recorded. The cut-off value for ALP was calculated based on patient survival data, and patients were divided into groups. Differences in patients' 3- and 5-year survival rates, liver function, bone disease and other indicators among different groups were compared. Independent risk factors influencing newly diagnosed MM patients were identified using COX regression analysis. Results: Patients were categorized into three groups based on ALP cut-off points: Group 1 (ALP <70 U/L), Group 2 (ALP 70 to <120 U/L), and Group 3 (ALP >= 120 U/L). Significant differences were observed in lactate dehydrogenase, serum calcium, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, and liver function indicators (including alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, albumin, and gamma-glutamyl transferase) among different ALP groups (P<0.05). ALP levels varied significantly among patients with different bone disease grades (P<0.05). Median survival times for Groups 1, 2, and 3 were 25, 52, and 31 months, respectively. Group 2 exhibited significantly higher 3-year survival compared to the other two groups (P=0.006), while no significant difference was observed in 5-year survival among the three groups (P=0.51). Age, International Staging System staging, aspartate aminotransferase, beta 2-microglobulin, ALP grading, and severe bone disease were identified as independent factors influencing survival in newly diagnosed patients (P<0.05). Conclusions: ALP levels are correlated with the prognosis of MM patients, and an ALP range of 70 to <120 U/L reflects a better survival expectation.