Predicting the Effect of Meropenem Against Klebsiella pneumoniae Using Minimum Inhibitory Concentrations Determined at High Inocula

Background/Objectives: Assessing antibiotic MICs at high bacterial counts is likely to disclose hidden bacterial resistance and the inoculum effect if present and therefore also reveal potential decreased antibiotic effectiveness. In the current study, we evaluated the predictive potential of MICs determined at high bacterial inocula to evaluate meropenem effectiveness and emergence of resistance in Klebsiella pneumoniae. Methods: Nine carbapenemase-free or carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae strains were exposed to meropenem in an in vitro hollow-fiber infection model (HFIM). The treatment effects were correlated with simulated antibiotic ratios of the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) to the MIC (AUC/MIC) and to MICs determined at high inocula (AUC/MICHI). Results: Based on MICs determined at standard inocula, meropenem effects at different AUC/MIC ratios for both carbapenemase-free and carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae strains were stratified and could not be described by a single relationship. In contrast, when AUC/MICHI ratios were used, a single relationship with the antibiotic effect was obtained for all tested strains. Similarly, the emergence of meropenem resistance in HFIM was concordant with AUC/MICHI, but not with AUC/MIC ratios. Conclusions: MICs determined at high bacterial inocula enable the prediction of meropenem effects both for carbapenemase-free and for carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae strains. Also, MICs at standard and high inocula can identify carbapenemase-producing strains by revealing the inoculum effect.