A comparative review of de- and post-growth modeling studies

被引:5
作者
Lauer, Arthur [1 ,2 ]
Capellan-Perez, Inigo [1 ,3 ]
Wergles, Nathalie [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Valladolid, Grp Energy Econ & Syst Dynam GEEDS, Paseo Cauce S-N, Valladolid 47011, Spain
[2] Univ Valladolid, Dept Appl Econ, Ave Valle Esgueva 6, Valladolid 47011, Spain
[3] Univ Valladolid, Dept Syst Engn & Automat Control, Escuela Ingn Ind, Paseo Cauce S-N, Valladolid 47011, Spain
关键词
Degrowth; Post-growth; Modeling; Policy evaluation; Scenarios; Transition; HAPPY DEGROWTH; GROWTH; ENERGY; ECONOMICS; REFLECTIONS; CONSTRAINTS; UNCERTAINTY; CONSUMPTION; INEQUALITY; COUNTRIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108383
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
In recent years, a small but rapidly growing field of modeling alternatives to growth as represented by the de(DG) and post-growth (PG) discourses has emerged. We compare selected model characteristics of 75 DG and PG related modeling studies, compiled through a systematic literature review (2000-2023), and link model structures and results to different theoretically contested debates surrounding DG/PG. The reviewed studies cover different geographical and temporal scopes, economic theories, modeling techniques and operationalizations of DG/PG. The majority of studies models DG/PG as intentional transition and does not question its compatibility with a capitalist system, while more radical strands of the DG/PG discourse are excluded. Although DG/PG modeling exercises frequently explore the effects of sustainability policies, they represent only a fraction of theoretical DG policy proposals, with the most frequent being: working time reduction, maximum income caps, carbon taxes and a universal basic income. DG/PG modeling studies have demonstrated the importance of integrating biophysical constraints in economic modeling but also have quantitatively assessed the feasibility of environmental integrity and social well-being without growth. Nonetheless, future modeling could be rendered more realistic by paying more attention to the Global South, introducing heterogeneous agents driving sustainability transitions and including multiple planetary boundaries.
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页数:14
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