Is crime a " root cause" of Central American emigration? Evidence from El Salvador

被引：0

作者：

Abreha, Kaleb ^{[1
]}

Johnson, Trinity ^{[1
,2
]}

Robertson, Raymond ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Texas A&M Univ, College Stn, TX USA

[2] Int Trade Adm, Washington, DC USA

[3] Texas A&M Univ, Mission Foods Texas Mex Ctr, Dallas, TX 75205 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS | 2025年 / 174卷

关键词：

Migration; Crime and violence; Poverty; El Salvador; United States; SYNTHETIC CONTROL METHODS; ORGANIZED-CRIME; MIGRATION;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103456

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We estimate the impact of President Bukele's 2022 crime crackdown on migrant encounters at the U.S. border. El Salvador is a key source of migration through the Southern U.S. border and had high crime rates. In March 2022, a surge in violence led to a state of exception and mass arrest of suspected gang affiliates, which raised human rights concerns and significantly reduced homicides. Applying difference-in-differences and synthetic cohort methods, we find an 45%-67% decline in U.S. border encounters with Salvadorans relative to others.

引用

页数：7

共 38 条

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