External validation of the German Registry for Acute Aortic Dissection Type A score in patients undergoing surgery for acute type A aortic dissection

被引:0
作者
Ahmad, Danial [1 ,2 ]
Serna-Gallegos, Derek [1 ,2 ]
Jackson, Ariana [1 ]
Kaczorowski, David J. [1 ,2 ]
Bonatti, Johannes [1 ,2 ]
West, David M. [1 ,2 ]
Yoon, Pyongsoo D. [1 ,2 ]
Chu, Danny [1 ,2 ]
Squire, Joe [2 ]
Thoma, Floyd [1 ,2 ]
Zhu, Jianhui [2 ]
Phillippi, Julie [1 ]
Sultan, Ibrahim [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Cardiothorac Surg, Div Cardiac Surg, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[2] Univ Pittsburgh, Med Ctr, Med Ctr, Pitts, PA USA
[3] Univ Pittsburgh, Med Ctr, Dept Cardiothorac Surg, Ctr Thorac Aort Dis,Div Cardiac Surg,Dept Cardioth, 200 Lothrop St,Suite C 800, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
关键词
acute type A aortic dissection; aorta; ATAAD; external validation; GERAADA; GERAADA score; INTERNATIONAL REGISTRY; PREDICTION; MORTALITY; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.xjon.2024.12.007
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
Objective: Surgery for acute type A aortic dissection carries a high risk of morbidity and mortality compared with routine cardiac surgical procedures. The German Registry for Acute Aortic Dissection Type A score has been recommended for use as a mortality risk-stratification tool in recent guidelines. We sought to externally validate this score in our local population. Methods: All consecutive patients undergoing surgery for acute type A aortic dissection from 2007 to 2021 were included. Logistic regression analyses were performed. Model discrimination was assessed by C-statistic with 95% CIs as part of the receiver operating characteristic analysis. Model performance was visualized by calibration plot and quantified by the Brier score. Results: A total of 587 patients were included. The mean age was 61 years (+/- 13.5), with 42.08% of patients aged more than 65 years; 40.37% were female. The mean circulatory arrest time was 30.9 minutes (+/- 16.5). Hemiarch replacement was performed in 62% of patients, and total arch replacement was performed in 35.3% of patients. Thirty-day mortality was observed in 66 patients (11.24%), and stroke was present in 7.16% of patients. The C-statistic revealed good discriminatory ability for predicting 30-day mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.67-0.79; P < .0001). Model calibration was good (Brier score = 0.094). Conclusions: The German Registry for Acute Aortic Dissection Type A score for 30-day mortality showed good discriminatory ability in our local population along with good ability for prediction of mortality, indicating its potential clinical utility in the population with acute type A aortic dissection.
引用
收藏
页码:81 / 88
页数:8
相关论文
共 30 条
[1]   Comparing classifiers when the misallocation costs are uncertain [J].
Adams, NM ;
Hand, DJ .
PATTERN RECOGNITION, 1999, 32 (07) :1139-1147
[2]   External validation of the ARCH score in patients undergoing aortic arch reconstruction under circulatory arrest [J].
Ahmad, Danial ;
Sa, Michel Pompeu ;
Brown, James A. ;
Yousef, Sarah ;
Wang, Yisi ;
Thoma, Floyd ;
Chu, Danny ;
Kaczorowski, David J. ;
West, David M. ;
Bonatti, Johannes ;
Yoon, Pyongsoo D. ;
Ferdinand, Francis D. ;
Serna-Gallegos, Derek ;
Phillippi, Julie ;
Sultan, Ibrahim .
JOURNAL OF THORACIC AND CARDIOVASCULAR SURGERY, 2025, 169 (04) :1182-1190.e4
[3]   Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model [J].
Altman, Douglas G. ;
Vergouwe, Yvonne ;
Royston, Patrick ;
Moons, Karel G. M. .
BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 2009, 338 :1432-1435
[4]   Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Surgery for Type A Acute Aortic Dissection [J].
Arnaoutakis, George J. ;
Ogami, Takuya ;
Patel, Himanshu J. ;
Pai, Chih-Wen ;
Woznicki, Elise M. ;
Brinster, Derek R. ;
Leshnower, Bradley G. ;
Serna-Gallegos, Derek ;
Bekeredjian, Raffi ;
Sundt, Thoralf M. ;
Shaffer, Andrew W. ;
Peterson, Mark D. ;
Geuzebroek, Guillaume S. C. ;
Eagle, Kim A. ;
Trimarchi, Santi ;
Sultan, Ibrahim .
ANNALS OF THORACIC SURGERY, 2023, 115 (04) :879-885
[5]   Decade-long trends in surgery for acute Type A aortic dissection in England: A retrospective cohort study [J].
Benedetto, Umberto ;
Sinha, Shubhra ;
Dimagli, Arnaldo ;
Cooper, Graham ;
Mariscalco, Giovanni ;
Uppal, Rakesh ;
Moorjani, Narain ;
Krasopoulos, George ;
Kaura, Amit ;
Field, Mark ;
Trivedi, Uday ;
Kendall, Simon ;
Angelini, Gianni D. ;
Akowuah, Enoch F. ;
Tsang, Geoffrey .
LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH-EUROPE, 2021, 7
[6]   Validation of the GERAADA score to predict 30-day mortality in acute type A aortic dissection in a single high-volume aortic centre [J].
Berezowski, Mikolaj ;
Kalva, Saiesh ;
Bavaria, Joseph E. ;
Zhao, Yu ;
Patrick, William L. ;
Kelly, John J. ;
Szeto, Wilson Y. ;
Grimm, Joshua C. ;
Desai, Nimesh D. .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CARDIO-THORACIC SURGERY, 2024, 65 (02)
[7]   Caveats and pitfalls of ROC analysis in clinical microarray research (and how to avoid them) [J].
Berrar, Daniel ;
Flach, Peter .
BRIEFINGS IN BIOINFORMATICS, 2012, 13 (01) :83-97
[8]   External validation is necessary in, prediction research: A clinical example [J].
Bleeker, SE ;
Moll, HA ;
Steyerberg, EW ;
Donders, ART ;
Derksen-Lubsen, G ;
Grobbee, DE ;
Moons, KGM .
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2003, 56 (09) :826-832
[9]   EACTS/STS Guidelines for diagnosing and treating acute and chronic syndromes of the aortic organ [J].
Czerny, Martin ;
Grabenwoeger, Martin ;
Berger, Tim ;
Aboyans, Victor ;
Della Corte, Alessandro ;
Chen, Edward P. ;
Desai, Nimesh D. ;
Dumfarth, Julia ;
Elefteriades, John A. ;
Etz, Christian D. ;
Kim, Karen M. ;
Kreibich, Maximilian ;
Lescan, Mario ;
Di Marco, Luca ;
Martens, Andreas ;
Mestres, Carlos A. ;
Milojevic, Milan ;
Nienaber, Christoph A. ;
Piffaretti, Gabriele ;
Preventza, Ourania ;
Quintana, Eduard ;
Rylski, Bartosz ;
Schlett, Christopher L. ;
Schoenhoff, Florian ;
Trimarchi, Santi ;
Tsagakis, Konstantinos .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CARDIO-THORACIC SURGERY, 2024, 65 (02)
[10]   Prediction of mortality rate in acute type A dissection: the German Registry for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection score [J].
Czerny, Martin ;
Siepe, Matthias ;
Beyersdorf, Friedhelm ;
Feisst, Manuel ;
Gabel, Michael ;
Pilz, Maximilian ;
Poeling, Jochen ;
Dohle, Daniel-Sebastian ;
Sarvanakis, Konstantinos ;
Luehr, Maximilian ;
Hagl, Christian ;
Rawa, Arif ;
Schneider, Wilke ;
Detter, Christian ;
Holubec, Tomas ;
Borger, Michael ;
Boening, Andreas ;
Rylski, Bartosz .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CARDIO-THORACIC SURGERY, 2020, 58 (04) :700-706