Baseline and interim 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters predict the efficacy and survival in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Introduction The prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters, such as metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) remains inadequately explored. This study aims to assess the correlation between these parameters and patient outcomes. Methods A cohort of 156 DLBCL patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging at baseline and after 3-4 cycles of R-CHOP or CHOP-like regimen. The third quartiles of liver uptake values were used as thresholds for calculating MTV and TLG. Patient outcomes were analyzed based on Ann Arbor staging and the 5-PS score. A nomogram was developed to predict overall survival (OS). Results Patients with low baseline TLG exhibited significantly better outcomes compared to those with high baseline TLG in both Ann Arbor stages I-II and III-IV (1-year PFS: 78.9% vs. 40%, p=0.016; OS: 94.7% vs. 40%, p=0.005 for stage I-II; 1-year PFS: 74.1% vs. 46.8%, p=0.014; OS: 85.4% vs. 71.8%, p=0.007 for stage III-IV). In interim PET/CT patients with a 5-PS score >3, the high Delta TLG group had superior prognosis (1-year PFS: 82.3% vs. 35.7%, p=0.003; OS: 88.2% vs. 85.7%, p=0.003). The nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.9 for OS prediction. Discussion The findings suggest that baseline TLG is a robust prognostic indicator for patients with DLBCL, particularly in early stages, while Delta TLG effectively distinguishes those with favorable outcomes in higher-risk groups. These metabolic parameters from 18F-FDG PET/CT could enhance treatment decision-making and patient management strategies.