A Bayesian inference with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) framework fora three-parameter model with reliability applications

被引:2
作者
Muhammad, Mustapha [1 ]
Abba, Badamasi [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Guangdong Univ Petrochem Technol, Dept Math, Maoming 525000, Peoples R China
[2] Cent South Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Changsha, Peoples R China
[3] Northwest Univ, Dept Math, Kano, Nigeria
关键词
Bayesian estimation; Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm; Weibull distribution; Mean residual life; Non-monotone failure rate data; WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION; BATHTUB; EXTENSION;
D O I
10.1016/j.kjs.2025.100365
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In this work, a complete Bayesian paradigm for the proposed three-parameter Weibull-based model is presented, and the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm was used to enhance precision and expedite inference. Simulation studies were used to evaluate the appropriateness of the proposed Bayes estimators. In addition, maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) are also presented. We demonstrate that the MLEs for each parameter exist under certain conditions, with some being uniquely identifiable. Moreover, comprehensive reliability characteristics of the proposed model were derived and studied, such as the reliability function, failure rate function, mean residual life, and rth moments. We also investigated the identifiability of the proposed model's parameters. Finally, two real datasets involving the failure times of some components were used to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimation methods and the model. The proposed model outperformed many existing models, ranking first in both dataset evaluations by consistently achieving more of the lowest values in the Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion, corrected AIC, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Anderson-Darling test, and Cram & eacute;r-von Mises test.
引用
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页数:16
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